Oklo Tumbles 3.53% as Analysts Slash Earnings Outlook Despite Nuclear Hopes Ranking 125th in $750M Volume

Oklo (OKLO) closed August 15 with a 3.53% decline, trading volume of $0.75 billion, and ranked 125th in market activity. The drop followed a series of revised earnings forecasts from key analysts, despite ongoing optimism about its Aurora small modular reactor project and broader nuclear energy trends.

Positive momentum has driven Oklo’s 2025 rally, supported by federal project approvals, AI-driven energy demand, and strategic partnerships. The Aurora reactor, aiming for a 2028 launch, remains a key catalyst, while HC Wainwright raised its price target to $90. However, recent bearish revisions from Cantor Fitzgerald, Wedbush, and HC Wainwright—cutting FY2025 and Q3 2025 EPS estimates—have pressured sentiment. William Blair’s modestly improved forecast also failed to offset broader pessimism.

Neutral and negative developments further clouded the outlook. Unspecified intraday volatility and lack of fundamental triggers left investors uncertain. Cantor Fitzgerald’s 100% deeper loss projection and Wedbush’s reduced Q3 2025 EPS forecast compounded near-term risks. While the nuclear sector benefits from U.S. and global capacity expansion goals, Oklo’s path to profitability remains challenged by persistent earnings pressures.

The strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day generated a $2,550 profit from 2022 to the present. However, it faced a -15.4% maximum drawdown on October 27, 2022, highlighting market volatility during the period.