Why October Is a Strategic Window for Meme Coin Investors: The Case for Dogecoin and Shiba Inu

October has historically been a pivotal month for meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB), marked by distinct patterns of volatility and investor behavior. By analyzing their historical performance and recent market psychology, investors can position portfolios to capitalize on seasonal trends while mitigating risks tied to macroeconomic shifts.

Historical Performance: October as a Rally Season

Dogecoin’s October performance reveals a recurring pattern of resilience. From 2018 to 2024, DOGE’s price swung between $0.003757 and $0.7304, with October 2021’s surge to $0.1708 driven by high-profile endorsements and retail frenzy [4]. In October 2025, DOGE demonstrated moderate volatility (4.74% price swing), outperforming SHIB’s 19.09% monthly decline [6]. This stability is attributed to stronger institutional adoption, including 5.4 million wallet addresses and $1.9 billion in daily transactions, which anchor its value proposition [6].

Shiba Inu, by contrast, has shown extreme volatility. Its October 2021 peak of $0.0000725 was followed by a sharp decline, with the token trading at $0.0000122 by October 2025 [3]. SHIB’s structural challenges—such as a 589 trillion token supply and a low total value locked (TVL) of $1.5 million on Shibarium—limit the effectiveness of its deflationary mechanisms, making it more susceptible to speculative selling [6].

Market Psychology: Institutional Backing vs. Community Fragmentation

October 2025 market psychology underscores a shift in investor priorities. Dogecoin benefits from a blend of nostalgia and institutional credibility. Whale accumulation signals, celebrity endorsements (e.g., Elon Musk), and potential ETF approvals have bolstered its cultural legacy [1]. Derivatives open interest has grown steadily, with an RSI near 50 indicating reduced bearish momentum [1]. However, DOGE’s price stagnation around $0.213 suggests short-term saturation, requiring patience for long-term gains [1].

Shiba Inu faces existential challenges. Despite a 1,985% reduction in circulating supply year-to-date, its massive tokenomics dilute the impact of burns. Community-driven projects like Shibarium and NFTs have failed to gain traction, while competition from newer meme coins like Pepe (PEPE) and Layer Brett is fragmenting SHIB’s market share [1]. The token’s 19.09% monthly decline in early August 2025 highlights its vulnerability to macroeconomic factors, such as Ethereum’s staking unlock [5].

Strategic Positioning for October 2025

The contrast between September and October 2025 trends is stark. September saw heightened volatility for both coins, with DOGE dropping 0.93% and SHIB plummeting 19.09% [6]. October, however, offers a more balanced environment. For DOGE, the combination of institutional adoption and stable on-chain metrics makes it a safer bet for conservative investors. SHIB’s speculative nature, while riskier, could appeal to traders seeking high-reward opportunities in a fragmented market.

Emerging alternatives like MAGACOIN FINANCE and Remittix (RTX) are also reshaping the landscape. MAGACOIN’s 12% transaction burn rate and $1.4 billion in whale inflows position it as a next-gen meme coin with utility-driven value [2]. Remittix’s PayFi infrastructure and real-world use cases further illustrate the shift toward projects blending virality with tangible applications [3].

Conclusion

October 2025 presents a strategic window for meme coin investors. Dogecoin’s institutional backing and on-chain stability make it a resilient choice, while Shiba Inu’s volatility offers high-risk, high-reward potential. By leveraging historical patterns and current market psychology, investors can diversify portfolios to balance exposure between established and emerging projects. As the meme coin ecosystem evolves, those who align with utility-driven innovation and scarcity-based models may find themselves ahead of the curve.

Source:
[1] Dogecoin vs. Shiba Inu: Evaluating Meme Coin Fundamentals [https://www.ainvest.com/news/dogecoin-shiba-inu-evaluating-meme-coin-fundamentals-october-market-repricing-2508/]
[2] The October 2025 Meme Coin Repricing: Why Shiba Inu Losing Ground to Emerging Alternatives [https://www.ainvest.com/news/october-2025-meme-coin-repricing-shiba-inu-dogecoin-losing-ground-emerging-alternatives-magacoin-finance-2508/]
[3] Why Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Early Backers Are Betting Big On This New Altcoin In 2025 [https://www.barchart.com/story/news/34487112/why-dogecoin-and-shiba-inu-early-backers-are-betting-big-on-this-new-altcoin-in-2025]
[4] Dogecoin Yearly Price History from 2013 to 2025 [https://www.coinlore.com/coin/dogecoin/historical-data]
[5] SHIB vs DOGE: Investment Outlook for 2025 [https://altfins.com/blog/shib-vs-doge-investment-outlook-for-2025/]
[6] Dogecoin (DOGE) Price in US Dollar (USD) History for 2018 [https://www.exchangerates.org.uk/crypto-currencies/dogecoin-to-us-dollar-history-doge-usd-2018]