Nvidia Stock Keeps Growing, But Is It Time to Lower Expectations for 2025?
Wesley ParkMonday, Dec 16, 2024 6:28 pm ET

Nvidia's stock has been on a remarkable growth trajectory, with shares doubling in each of the last two years. This meteoric rise has been driven by the increasing demand for AI and data center infrastructure, which is expected to transition to more advanced hardware. However, as the company approaches $1 trillion in data center infrastructure, investors should be mindful of potential slowdowns in revenue growth.
The consensus Wall Street estimate calls for revenue to increase by 51% in the coming fiscal year, which is a significant amount of growth for a company expected to report $129 billion in revenue this year. While Nvidia's launch of Blackwell, a complete computing platform for generative AI and quantum computing, could surprise to the upside, investors should be prepared for a potential slowdown in growth.
Nvidia's data center business is expected to grow by 51% in 2025, driven by the transition to advanced hardware for AI. However, this growth rate is slower than the previous year's 94% increase. Investors should temper their expectations, as the launch of Blackwell may not fully offset the slowdown in revenue growth. Despite this, Nvidia's strong position in AI and data center markets, along with its partnership with major cloud service providers and server vendors, suggests that the stock remains a solid investment.
Nvidia's AI and metaverse initiatives are poised to drive significant growth in 2025. The company's Omniverse software, designed for building and operating metaverse and 3D internet applications, and its AI Enterprise software, which enables businesses to deploy AI at scale, are expected to generate substantial revenue. Additionally, Nvidia's AI platform, which includes hardware and software components, is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI solutions in various industries. As AI adoption continues to expand, Nvidia's offerings are likely to remain in high demand, contributing to the company's growth in 2025.
Analysts' price targets and ratings for Nvidia stock reflect a cautious optimism about the company's growth potential. The average target price is $167.85, representing a 27.16% increase from the current price. However, the range of targets spans from $87 to $220, indicating a wide range of opinions on the stock's future performance. The majority of analysts (54) rate Nvidia as a "strong buy," while only 4 rate it as a "hold" or "sell." This suggests that while analysts expect Nvidia to continue growing, they may be lowering their expectations for the company's 2025 performance.
In conclusion, Nvidia's stock has been on a remarkable growth trajectory, driven by the increasing demand for AI and data center infrastructure. However, investors should be mindful of potential slowdowns in revenue growth as the company approaches $1 trillion in data center infrastructure. Nvidia's AI and metaverse initiatives are poised to drive significant growth in 2025, but analysts' price targets and ratings reflect a cautious optimism about the company's growth potential. Investors should stay informed about the company's performance and adjust their expectations accordingly.

NVDA Total Revenue YoY, Total Revenue
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