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Nvidia's Trade War Woes: Navigating Post-Earnings Blues and China Challenges

Wesley ParkWednesday, Nov 27, 2024 1:27 pm ET
4min read
Nvidia's (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock took another hit recently, as investors grapple with post-earnings blues and fresh concerns about a potential China trade war. Despite reporting record quarterly revenue, the company's stock has fallen by over 10% from its all-time high, raising questions about its future prospects. In this article, we'll delve into the factors behind Nvidia's recent stock performance, the impact of new trade restrictions, and the company's strategies to maintain its market dominance.

Nvidia's earnings report showed a mixed bag of results. Revenue skyrocketed to $35.1 billion, up 17% from the previous quarter and a staggering 94% from a year ago. However, gross margin dipped to 74.6% from 75.1% in the previous quarter, while operating expenses increased by 9%. These factors, along with renewed trade war fears, contributed to the stock's decline.

The recent U.S. export restrictions on advanced chips, aimed at curbing China's technological advancements, have investors worried about Nvidia's sales in the region. China accounted for around 15% of Nvidia's total revenue in the latest quarter, down from 26% two years ago due to tightening export policies. The new regulations could further limit Nvidia's ability to sell its most advanced AI chips to China, potentially impacting its revenue and growth prospects.



To navigate these challenges, Nvidia must explore alternative strategies to circumvent the latest U.S. export restrictions and continue supplying AI chips to China. The company has shown resilience in the past by developing alternative GPUs to bypass similar restrictions. A report by Semianalysis suggests that Nvidia is planning to release three new AI chips—H20, L20, and L2—to bypass the recent U.S. trade barriers. These chips are designed to maintain high performance while staying below the restricted threshold, allowing Nvidia to continue serving the Chinese market.

NVDA Total Revenue (FY), Total Revenue (FY) YoY


Moreover, Nvidia can mitigate potential losses by diversifying its product portfolio, expanding partnerships in other regions, improving its cost structure, and investing in research and development. These measures can help the company maintain profitability and adapt to the new market dynamics.

Despite the recent stock slip, Nvidia remains an industry leader, with a strong financial performance and robust business model. The company's ability to innovate and adapt in the face of regulatory challenges will be crucial for investors. As President-elect Donald Trump returns to office, there are fears that his administration will tighten trade policies around AI chips to curb China's tech advances, potentially hurting Nvidia's business. However, Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, remains optimistic about the state of America's relationship with China under the incoming administration, stressing the importance of open research and global cooperation.

In conclusion, Nvidia faces headwinds due to post-earnings blues and new China trade war fears. However, the company's strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships, along with its ability to adapt and innovate, position it for long-term success. Investors should keep a close eye on Nvidia's ability to navigate the challenges posed by the new U.S. restrictions on exports to China and maintain its competitiveness in the global AI chip market.
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sesriously
11/27
Nvidia's got the tech to bypass restrictions, but will it be enough? 🤔
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JSOAN321
11/27
Diversification is key, Nvidia's got that game
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TheRealJakeMalloy
11/27
Nvidia's got the skills to pay the bills, but those margins are a bit tight. Watching closely.
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Antinetdotcom
11/27
China's a big market, but Nvidia's still a beast globally. Don't sleep on their international growth.
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VegetaIsSuperior
11/27
China trade war fears are overhyped, imo.
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notbutterface
11/27
$NVDA's AI chips are 🔥, but China trade drama is a wild card. Diversification is key.
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acg7
11/27
Trade wars are a rollercoaster. $NVDA needs to keep innovating to stay on top.
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Anteater_Able
11/27
Holding $NVDA long-term, trust in their innovation.
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ReindeerApart5536
11/27
New chips = new opportunities, Nvidia knows
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smooth_and_rough
11/27
Holding $NVDA long-term, diversification is key. Dips like this are buying opportunities.
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that_is_curious
11/27
Semianalysis says Nvidia's got new chips ready. Smart move to stay ahead of trade barriers.
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fgd12350
11/27
Nvidia's AI chips are the real MVPs.
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