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NVIDIA's Meteoric Rise: A $3.6 Trillion Market Cap Amidst China Trade Challenges

Word on the StreetFriday, Nov 22, 2024 7:00 am ET
1min read

Recently, NVIDIA has emerged as the top global enterprise by market capitalization, surpassing giants like Apple and Microsoft. NVIDIA's market valuation has soared to an impressive $3.597 trillion, equivalent to approximately 26 trillion RMB, a figure that astonishingly surpasses the GDP of Guangdong Province over two years.

The driving force behind NVIDIA's remarkable ascent is its dominance in the AI chip market, where it commands over 90% of the global market share. This dominant position has yielded substantial profits as demand for AI GPUs continues to escalate in the AI era, pushing NVIDIA's market value to new heights.

Despite its unprecedented market standing, NVIDIA faces significant challenges concerning the Chinese market. Due to regulatory restrictions, NVIDIA is currently unable to sell certain advanced chips to mainland China, leading to constrained income from this key market. In this third quarter alone, NVIDIA's sales in China amounted to $5.4 billion, ranking it third after the United States and Singapore.

Moreover, the prohibition has fueled the rise of domestic Chinese AI chip manufacturers. As these companies grow, there is potential for them to replace NVIDIA's offerings in China, posing a long-term threat to NVIDIA's market share. The company has vocalized concerns about losing the Chinese market, acknowledging that an absence of sales access could catalyze China's development of self-sufficient AI technologies.

Access to a fully tapped Chinese market could push NVIDIA's market value beyond $4 trillion, considering China's rapidly advancing AI sector. However, the existing trade restrictions have introduced uncertainties. NVIDIA remains wary of China's potential emergence as an exporter of AI chips, which could challenge NVIDIA's presence not only in China but internationally.

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