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Nvidia's Earnings Loom Large: Can Jensen Huang Handle Sky-High Expectations Amid AI Market Surge?

Word on the StreetWednesday, Nov 20, 2024 1:00 am ET
1min read

Nvidia, the titan of AI technology, is poised to release its third-quarter earnings report, a crucial event for investors closely monitoring whether the AI market boom is sustainable or on the cusp of a correction. As anticipation builds, Nvidia's recent stock performance reflects investor optimism, with shares rising nearly 5% on Tuesday.

Analysts largely expect Nvidia's quarterly sales to reach approximately $33.1 billion, marking a 10% increase from the previous quarter and an impressive 83% year-over-year growth. However, market participants are particularly focused on Nvidia's profit margins, which are predicted to decline to around 75% this quarter and may dip further in subsequent quarters. This presents a dichotomy; while these margins are objectively robust, they may not meet the high expectations set by the market.

The potential impact of Nvidia's earnings extends beyond its own financial health, with broader implications for the AI-driven market rally. The upcoming results could define the trajectory of U.S. stocks, with Nvidia's performance being more impactful than pivotal economic reports like the non-farm payrolls data or CPI figures.

Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, known for over-delivering on financial targets, now faces the challenge of meeting sky-high expectations. Despite potential earnings beats, the heightened investor expectations may still place the stock under pressure if it only marginally surpasses estimates.

Looking forward, Nvidia's strong market fundamentals are underscored by sustained demand for its cutting-edge GPUs, expected to drive significant revenue growth. Analysts project that Nvidia's products, especially its advanced Hopper-based GPUs, will continue to be in strong demand, bolstering the data center revenue significantly.

However, the company also faces operational challenges, notably with the delay of its new generation Blackwell AI chips due to overheating issues in high-capacity server racks. These technical hurdles could delay future deployments, although Nvidia remains confident in collaboration with cloud service providers to address these concerns.

Overall, while Nvidia's near-term guidance remains pivotal, the enduring demand for its technologies places it favorably within the market. Investors, however, may need to temper expectations concerning immediate breakthroughs with the Blackwell chip series, especially given the supply chain challenges and anticipated production escalations in 2025.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.