Nvidia (NVDA) Options Signal $200 Call Wall as Trump Chip News Fuels Bullish Breakout Potential

• Nvidia surges 3.8% on Trump administration’s H200 chip export review and antitrust clearance with Intel
• Options frenzy at $200 call wall: 95,683 open contracts signal all-in bullish bets ahead of Friday expiry
• Block traders load $175 calls: 26,000 shares bought in single trade, hinting at structured volatility plays

Here’s the thing: when you see a stock like Nvidia rallying 3.8% on a single day while options traders are piling into $200 calls like they’re discount firecrackers, it’s not just noise—it’s a signal. The market is pricing in a breakout, and the technicals are starting to line up with it. Let’s break down why this could be your best shot at capitalizing on the AI giant’s next move.

The $200 Call Wall and Block Trader Moves Tell a Story

Options data doesn’t lie. The NVDA20251219C200 call option has 95,683 open contracts—more than double the next strike. That’s not just retail FOMO; it’s institutional money betting the Trump administration’s chip export review will unlock a new revenue stream. Combine that with the NVDA20250919C175 block trade where 26,000 calls were bought for $7.696 million, and you’ve got a recipe for volatility.

But here’s the catch: the RSI at 46.18 and MACD histogram (-0.725) suggest the rally isn’t overextended yet. However, the 30-day support/resistance cluster between $180.50–$182.24 means any pullback could trigger a rebound. The danger? If the Trump review hits snags, those $200 calls could turn into $200 liabilities.

Trump’s Chip Play and Analyst Hype Fuel the Fire

The news isn’t just a headline—it’s a catalyst. Analysts at Tigress Financial just bumped their price target to $350, and Bernstein calls the stock “unusually cheap.” The key here is timing: the Commerce Department’s 30-day review window ends in late January, which aligns with the NVDA20260116P160 put options seeing 1,250 contracts traded. That’s a hedge for downside, but the call-heavy options flow suggests most money is on the upside.

Investor psychology is also shifting. The $175 put block trades (like NVDA20251024P170) show some are hedging, but the 0.886 put/call ratio (calls dominate) means the crowd is leaning long. If you’re betting against this, you’ll need to watch the $172.12 Bollinger Band support—break below that, and the bulls lose momentum.

Actionable Trades: Calls for the Bold, Stock for the Strategic

For options traders: the NVDA20251226C185 call (31,886 OI) is a sweet spot. It’s just above today’s price and has enough time to ride the Trump news wave. If you’re bullish but cautious, a NVDA20251226P170 put could cap losses while letting the call play out.

For stock buyers: consider entries near $179.50 (current price) with a stop-loss at $176.35 (intraday low). The 30-day resistance at $181.06 is a key target—break that, and the 200D MA at $157.21 becomes irrelevant.

Volatility on the Horizon: Bullish Trends Ahead

This isn’t just a one-day rally. The block trades and options flow suggest a structured move is in motion. If the Trump administration approves the H200 exports by late January, the $200 call wall could become a floor. But don’t get greedy—lock in profits if the stock hits $185 before the Friday expiry. The real game starts in 2026, where the NVDA20260618P165 puts hint at long-term hedging.

Bottom line: Nvidia’s options market is a bull’s-eye for a Trump-driven trade. The question isn’t whether the stock can go higher—it’s whether you’re ready to ride the wave before the 30-day review deadline.