Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet to Hit $5 Trillion Market Cap First, Apple Not Included

Monday, Oct 20, 2025 5:31 am ET1min read
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Nvidia stock, Microsoft, and Alphabet are expected to be the first stocks to reach a $5 trillion market cap, with Nvidia and Microsoft having an easy path to reach the threshold. Nvidia needs to rise just 14% to reach $5 trillion, while Microsoft's Azure division is driving rapid growth in the intelligent cloud division. Alphabet, while a dark horse candidate, has a good chance of beating Apple to the $5 trillion mark. Apple needs to sustain solid growth to make a comeback after failing to grow revenue at a reasonable pace since 2022.

Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet are poised to become the first companies to reach a $5 trillion market capitalization. Nvidia, in particular, is close to achieving this milestone, needing just a 14% increase to reach the threshold. Meanwhile, Microsoft's Azure division is driving rapid growth in the intelligent cloud sector, positioning it as a strong contender. Alphabet, while a dark horse candidate, has a good chance of overtaking Apple to the $5 trillion mark. Apple, however, must sustain solid growth to make a comeback after its recent revenue stagnation.

Nvidia's stock has been trading near record highs, with shares currently around $182 per share. The company's revenue surged by 56% last quarter to $46.7 billion, driven by insatiable demand for its AI chips . Despite lofty valuations, most analysts remain bullish, with 38 of 47 analysts rating NVDA as a "Buy," and average price targets around $210–$220 . Nvidia is expected to report another blockbuster quarter on November 19.

Microsoft's Azure division has been a significant driver of growth, with the company's intelligent cloud segment reporting a 39% increase in revenue last quarter . Microsoft's strong position in cloud computing and AI services puts it on track to reach the $5 trillion mark.

Alphabet, with its diverse business model and strong cash flows, is another potential candidate to reach the $5 trillion mark. While it faces competition from other tech giants, its search engine and advertising revenue streams provide a solid foundation for growth.

Apple, on the other hand, has been struggling with revenue growth since 2022. To make a comeback, Apple must sustain solid growth in its hardware and services segments. The company's recent focus on AI and augmented reality could provide a path to growth, but it remains to be seen if these initiatives will translate into significant revenue increases.

In conclusion, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet are well-positioned to become the first companies to reach a $5 trillion market capitalization. However, each company faces its own set of challenges and opportunities that will determine their success in this race.

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