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Here’s the takeaway: NVDA’s options market is pricing in a sharp rebound. With call open interest concentrated above $190 and Trump-era trade policy tailwinds, the stock shows upside potential if it breaks above key resistance. But watch for Oracle’s ripple effects—this isn’t a straight-line trade.
Bull Call Accumulation at $190: What the Options Are SayingThe options chain tells a story of conviction. For Friday’s expiration, 169,614 calls at $190 (
) and 127,745 at $185 () dominate open interest. Next Friday’s data amplifies this: 106,384 calls at $200 () and 83,223 at $235 () suggest big money is stacking up for a late-month move.But it’s not all one-way bullish. The put/call ratio of 0.88 (favoring calls) hints at aggressive optimism, yet block trades like the 26,000-lot NVDA20250919C175 buy (Sept expiration) show some hedging activity. The danger? If
fails to hold above $179.40 (30D support), those bullish calls could turn into losses.Trump’s H200 Approval vs. Oracle’s AI Woes: A Tug-of-WarThe news flow is a mixed bag. On one hand, Trump’s 25% revenue-sharing H200 chip deal with China could add $30B annually—a 16% revenue boost for NVDA. On the other, Oracle’s “chip neutrality” policy and its $30B OpenAI debt raise red flags. Larry Ellison’s pivot to AMD/Intel could dilute NVDA’s AI dominance, but the Trump trade offset might outweigh this for now.
Investors are pricing in the best of both worlds: Blackwell sales “off the charts” and a $350B 2026 revenue target. But don’t ignore the portfolio risk—CoreWeave’s 46% drop in NVDA’s holdings is a reminder that AI euphoria can sour fast.
Trade Ideas: Calls for the Bold, Puts for the CautiousFor options players:
For stock traders:
The next 72 hours will test NVDA’s resolve. A break above $180.28 could reignite the bullish narrative, while a close below $176.62 would validate the puts. The Trump trade is a wildcard—watch for $190 call volume to surge if the H200 orders materialize. For now, the options market is betting on a rebound. Your move? Stack with the calls… but keep a seatbelt handy.

Focus on daily option trades

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