Novo Nordisk, Denmark's leading pharmaceutical company, has seen its stock plummet by 23% due to a downward revision in its profit forecast. This has led to a loss of 38 billion kroner ($5.8 billion) for Danish households and economists warn that prolonged struggles could negatively affect Denmark's exports and interest rates. Despite challenges, analysts remain optimistic about Novo Nordisk's long-term growth prospects.
Novo Nordisk, Denmark's leading pharmaceutical company, has seen its stock plummet by 23% due to a downward revision in its profit forecast. This significant drop has resulted in a loss of 38 billion kroner ($5.8 billion) for Danish households. Economists warn that prolonged struggles could negatively affect Denmark's exports and interest rates.
The stock price decline was particularly notable given the company's recent performance. In the first half of 2025, Novo Nordisk reported an 18% increase in sales and a 29% increase in operating profit at constant exchange rates (CER) [2]. However, the company's full-year outlook for 2025 was revised downward, with sales growth now expected to be in the range of 8-14% and operating profit growth expected to be 10-16% at CER [2]. The revised outlook was driven by lower growth expectations for Wegovy® in the US obesity market, Ozempic® in the US GLP-1 diabetes market, and lower-than-expected penetration for Wegovy® in select IO markets.
The leadership change, with Mads Krogsgaard Thomsen taking over as CEO, also contributed to the stock's decline. The appointment of a new CEO often signals a shift in strategy or management approach, which can be perceived as uncertain by investors. Additionally, the company's ongoing legal battles against unsafe and unlawful mass compounding of GLP-1s may have contributed to investor concerns.
Investors should closely monitor Novo Nordisk's earnings reports and any updates on its legal battles and market strategies to gauge the potential for a turnaround in the stock price. The company's ability to navigate these challenges and implement effective strategies will be crucial in determining its future performance.
Despite the current challenges, analysts remain optimistic about Novo Nordisk's long-term growth prospects. The company's core strengths—leadership in obesity/diabetes, global production capacity, and a robust cash flow—suggest a path to recovery. The new leadership team must prove its ability to streamline R&D, combat compounded drugs, and regain U.S. market traction. For investors, the current valuation offers an entry point, but patience is key.
References:
[1] https://www.ainvest.com/news/novo-nordisk-stock-drops-30-worst-week-due-price-pressure-leadership-change-2508/
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/navigating-legal-market-turbulence-assessing-novo-nordisk-long-term-investment-viability-2508/
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