US Northeast heating bills are expected to rise by 8% due to tariffs on Canadian energy products, adding an average of $117 to winter heating bills for households in New England, Pennsylvania, New York, and New Jersey. The levies, set to take effect on Tuesday, would disproportionately affect low-income families who rely on heating oil to heat their homes.
The upcoming winter season is set to bring more than just chilly temperatures to households in the US Northeast. According to the National Energy Assistance Directors Association (NEADA), heating bills in the region are expected to rise by an average of 8%, resulting in an additional $117 to the average winter heating bill for households in New England, Pennsylvania, New York, and New Jersey [1]. This increase, set to take effect on Tuesday, will disproportionately impact low-income families who rely on heating oil to heat their homes [1].
The NEADA report projects that the average cost of heating with electricity will increase by 13.6% to $1,208, while propane and natural gas users can expect a 7.3% and 7.2% rise, respectively [1]. Although the price of oil has dropped, leading to a projected 6.1% increase in heating oil costs, this may provide only temporary relief for consumers [1].
The impact of these rising heating costs on low-income families is particularly noteworthy. The NEADA report reveals that 17.4 million households, or over one in five, were in arrears in June 2024, up from 15.2 million a year earlier [1]. Moreover, utility shutoffs are projected to have increased to 3.8 million households this past fiscal year, up from 3.5 million the prior year [1].
These figures underscore the severity of the situation. As the winter season approaches, many families are grappling with the challenge of affording their heating bills, which may force them to make difficult choices between heating their homes and other essential expenses [1].
The reasons for these rising heating costs are multifaceted. In addition to the anticipated colder temperatures in the Northeast and Midwest, the expense of maintaining and upgrading the electric grid is driving up costs, particularly in the West where wildfires have ravaged the grid [1]. Furthermore, natural gas prices have stabilized but are expected to rise over the winter as US exports increase [1].
Despite these challenges, it is essential to remember that climate change does not necessarily mean warmer winters. Extreme cold can still occur even if winters warm overall, according to scientists [1]. As such, it is crucial for policymakers, utility companies, and community organizations to explore ways to mitigate the impact of rising heating costs on low-income families and ensure that everyone has access to affordable and reliable heating during the winter season.
References:
[1] CNN. (2024, October 1). Home heating costs expected to jump 10.5% this winter, report says. https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/01/economy/home-heating-costs-winter-bill/index.html
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