NHK: Japan's ruling coalition has lost its majority in the upper house

NHK: Japan's ruling coalition has lost its majority in the upper house

Title: Japan's Ruling Coalition Loses Majority in Upper House Election

Tokyo – Japan's ruling coalition, led by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, has lost its majority in the upper house election, according to exit polls. The coalition, which includes the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its junior partner Komeito, is projected to win between 32 to 51 seats out of the 248 seats up for election [1]. This result marks a significant setback for the coalition, which had previously held 141 seats.

The poor showing is attributed to several factors, including the government's perceived failure to effectively address rising prices and dwindling wages. Ishiba's coalition lost its majority in the lower house in October 2024, following a series of corruption scandals, and has since been forced to make concessions to the opposition [1].

The election results are likely to increase political instability and uncertainty over Ishiba's fate. While the upper house lacks the power to file a no-confidence motion against the prime minister, a significant loss could lead to calls for his resignation or the formation of a new coalition. The LDP alone is projected to win between 32 to 35 seats, the fewest ever won by the party [1].

Economic concerns were a major factor in the election. Soaring prices, lagging incomes, and burdensome social security payments were top issues for voters. Stricter measures targeting foreign residents and visitors also emerged as a key issue, with a surging right-wing populist party, Sanseito, leading the campaign [1].

The election comes amidst ongoing trade tensions with the United States. U.S. President Donald Trump has criticized the lack of progress in trade negotiations and the lack of sales of U.S. autos and American-grown rice to Japan. A 25% tariff due to take effect on August 1 has added to the pressure on Ishiba's government [1].

The results also reflect a growing trend of voters turning to populist parties. The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) is projected to win up to 26 seats, while the Democratic Party for the People (DPP) could quadruple its seats to 17 from four. Sanseito is expected to surge to 16 seats from just one [1]. None of the opposition parties have indicated a willingness to cooperate with the governing coalition.

The election results highlight a divided electorate between those who favor stability and unity and those who advocate for change and a more inclusive society. Voters are concerned about the rising xenophobia and the impact of populist rhetoric on social cohesion [1].

In conclusion, the loss of the majority in the upper house election is a significant blow to Japan's political stability and raises questions about the future of Ishiba's government. The election results reflect the deepening economic crisis and the growing influence of populist parties in Japan's political landscape.

References:
[1] https://www.news4jax.com/news/2025/07/20/japan-votes-in-a-key-election-as-prime-minister-ishiba-faces-a-possible-loss/