Summary
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(NBIX) surges 7.35% intraday to $153.725, hitting its 52-week high of $157.67.
• Q3 2025 net product sales jump 28% YoY to $790M, driven by INGREZZA’s $687M and CRENESSITY’s $98M.
• Technicals show a bullish K-line pattern, with RSI at 58.38 and MACD crossing above the signal line.
Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) is riding a post-earnings euphoria as its shares surge 7.35% intraday, breaking through the $153.725 level. The stock’s rally coincides with a blockbuster Q3 2025 earnings report, where INGREZZA and CRENESSITY sales outperformed expectations. With the stock trading near its 52-week high and technical indicators flashing bullish signals, investors are scrambling to decode the catalysts behind this sharp move.
Q3 Earnings and Product Sales Surge Ignite Bullish SentimentNeurocrine Biosciences’ 7.35% intraday rally is directly tied to its Q3 2025 earnings report, which revealed a 28% YoY increase in total net product sales to $790 million. INGREZZA, the company’s flagship drug for tardive dyskinesia and Huntington’s chorea, generated $687 million in sales, reflecting 12% YoY growth and record new patient enrollment. CRENESSITY, a first-in-class therapy for congenital adrenal hyperplasia, added $98 million in sales, with 540 new patient starts. The company also reaffirmed its INGREZZA sales guidance and highlighted progress in Phase 3 trials for osavampator and direclidine, signaling long-term growth potential. These results, coupled with strong cash reserves ($2.1 billion) and a 35.38x dynamic P/E ratio, have ignited investor optimism about the stock’s future.
Options and ETFs to Capitalize on NBIX’s Bullish Momentum
• 200-day average: 126.74 (well below current price)
• RSI: 58.38 (neutral to bullish)
• MACD: 0.809 (bullish crossover)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper at 147.88, Middle at 140.90, Lower at 133.92
• K-line pattern: Short-term bullish trend confirmed
Neurocrine Biosciences is in a strong short-term bullish phase, with technical indicators aligning for a continuation of the upward move. Key levels to watch include the 200-day MA at $126.74 (strong support) and the 52-week high at $157.67. The stock’s RSI at 58.38 suggests it is not overbought, leaving room for further gains. For leveraged exposure, consider boldETFs like boldXBI (XBI) or boldIBB (IBB), which track the biotech sector. However, the options chain offers more precise tools for directional bets. Two top options from the provided chain are:
• NBIX20251121C150: Call option with strike price $150, expiring Nov 21. Key stats: IV 59.00%, leverage ratio 15.82%, delta 0.601, theta -0.4209, gamma 0.019758, turnover 14,010. This contract offers moderate leverage and high gamma, making it ideal for a short-term rally. If
closes above $150 by expiration, the payoff could reach $12.93 per share (5% upside scenario).
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NBIX20251121C165: Call option with strike price $165, expiring Nov 21. Key stats: IV 48.73%, leverage ratio 61.38%, delta 0.2677, theta -0.2493, gamma 0.0204, turnover 5,605. This high-leverage contract is suited for aggressive bulls, with a potential payoff of $28.63 per share under a 5% upside. Its high gamma ensures sensitivity to price swings, while moderate IV suggests reasonable cost.
Aggressive bulls should consider NBIX20251121C165 into a break above $157.67.Backtest Neurocrine Biosciences Stock PerformanceApologies – the Event Backtest Engine twice returned an internal error (“convert_statistics not defined”). This indicates a problem inside the service rather than with your inputs, so simply retrying will keep failing.How would you like to proceed?1. Quick, approximate workaround – I can run a Strategy Backtest instead: • Use each ≥ 7 %-surge close as a “buy” signal. • Close the position automatically after a fixed holding period (e.g., 5 trading days) or with simple risk-control rules. • This produces comparable post-event return / draw-down statistics and an equity curve. 2. Adjust the study – for example, analyse a different threshold (say 8 % daily surge) or a different holding rule, which might avoid the engine bug.3. Wait for the Event Backtest Engine fix – I’ll monitor and rerun once the service is stable.Let me know which option you prefer (or if you have another idea), and I’ll execute it right away.
Act Now: NBIX’s Bullish Momentum Shows No Signs of Slowing
Neurocrine Biosciences’ 7.35% intraday surge is underpinned by robust Q3 earnings, strong product sales, and a bullish technical setup. The stock’s rally to the 52-week high of $157.67 and its proximity to key resistance levels suggest a high probability of continuation. Investors should monitor the 200-day MA at $126.74 as a critical support level and watch for a breakout above $157.67 to confirm the trend. For context, the sector leader Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is down 0.24% intraday, highlighting NBIX’s outperformance. Immediate action: Buy NBIX20251121C165 if $157.67 breaks, or accumulate shares on a pullback to $140.90.
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