Natural Grocers' 15-minute chart shows MACD Death Cross, Bollinger Bands Narrowing.

According to the 15-minute chart analysis of Natural Grocers, a significant technical indicator has been triggered. The MACD Death Cross, which signals a potential decline in the stock's value, has been confirmed. Additionally, the narrowing of Bollinger Bands at 08/13/2025 16:00 indicates a decrease in the magnitude of stock price fluctuations. This suggests that the stock price may continue to fall in the near future.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC) reported robust financial performance for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, despite facing challenges due to a cybersecurity incident at its primary distributor, UNFI. The company's net sales increased by 6.3% to $328.7 million, while net income rose by 26.0% to $11.6 million, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) at $0.50 [1].

Key highlights of the quarter include a 7.4% increase in daily average comparable store sales, driven by a 4.8% rise in transaction count and a 2.4% increase in transaction size. The company's operating margin improved to 4.7%, up from 4.2% in the previous year. Despite the cybersecurity incident, which impacted net sales by approximately $3.5 to $4.0 million, NGVC managed to exceed expectations, with operations largely normalized [1].

NGVC's management has announced plans to accelerate store expansion, with six to eight new stores expected to open in fiscal 2026. The company has signed leases for five new stores and is negotiating for five additional sites. This expansion is part of NGVC's strategy to build on its current 169 locations across 21 states [1].

Technical indicators on the 15-minute chart of NGVC's stock suggest a potential downward trend. The stock has triggered Bollinger Bands Narrowing, indicating decreasing price fluctuations. Additionally, the KDJ indicator has triggered a Death Cross at 08/11/2025 14:00, signaling a shift in momentum towards the downside [2].

Looking ahead, NGVC has adjusted its fiscal 2025 outlook upwards, expecting daily average comparable store sales growth between 7.25% to 7.75% and diluted EPS in the range of $1.90 to $1.95. The company has also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, payable on September 17, 2025 [1].

References:
[1] https://www.gurufocus.com/news/3048684/natural-grocers-by-vitamin-cottage-inc-ngvc-q3-2025-earnings-call-highlights-strong-sales-growth-amid-challenges?r=4bf001661e6fdd88d0cd7a5659ff9748
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/natural-grocers-15min-chart-shows-bollinger-bands-narrowing-kdj-death-cross-2508-47/