National Fuel Gas Q1 2025: Key Contradictions in M&A Strategy, Production Growth, and Curtailment Expectations

These are the key contradictions discussed in National Fuel Gas Company's latest 2025EarningsQ1 earnings call, specifically including: M&A strategy, production growth strategy, and curtailment expectations:



Strong Financial Performance and Outlook:
- National Fuel Gas Company reported adjusted operating results of $1.66 per share, up 14% over the previous year, with a midpoint earnings guidance increase of 17% for fiscal 2025.
- The growth was driven by successful execution across the system, particularly in rate-regulated subsidiaries and improved natural gas pricing.

Production and Capital Efficiency:
- Seneca Resources' production increased by 6% to 98 Bcfe in Q1, and production guidance was revised upward to a range of 410 to 425 Bcfe.
- The increase in production and the expectation of further improvements in capital efficiency are attributed to enhanced well productivity and optimized well designs.

Regulatory and Rate Approvals:
- The company received a multiyear New York rate settlement with an allowed rate of return on equity of 9.7%, which is expected to provide $130 million in additional margin.
- This settlement, along with approvals in Pennsylvania and Supply Corp, supports continued long-term growth in regulated businesses.

Natural Gas Industry Outlook:
- The company revised its earnings guidance, assuming NYMEX natural gas prices averaged $3.50 per MMBtu for the remainder of the fiscal year.
- The positive outlook is driven by increased demand, producer discipline, and favorable regulatory environment.