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Nasdaq Futures Tumble as China's AI Push Rattles Big Tech

Theodore QuinnMonday, Jan 27, 2025 4:57 am ET
4min read



The tech world is abuzz with the news that Nasdaq futures have tumbled, with investors expressing concern over the potential impact of China's AI push on major tech companies. The catalyst for this market reaction is the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that has developed a chatbot capable of matching the performance of its US competitors at a significantly lower cost.

DeepSeek's chatbot, which has soared to the top of the Apple Store's download charts, has stunned industry insiders with its ability to match US competitors like OpenAI and Google at a fraction of the cost. The startup, based in the eastern Chinese city of Hangzhou, spent only $5.6 million over two months to develop its latest model, a mere pittance compared to the billions US tech giants have poured into AI.



The news of DeepSeek's success has sent shockwaves through the global tech market, with US stock futures falling sharply on Monday. The S&P 500 futures dropped by 1 percent, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell nearly 1.9 percent during trading in Asia. This decline reflects investors' worries about the potential impact of DeepSeek's cheaper, more efficient AI model on the business of major US tech companies like Nvidia, OpenAI, and Google.

Asian markets have responded differently to the news, with tech stocks in Hong Kong rising by 2 percent, while Japan's market saw a drop, with shares of Advantest Corp., which supplies chips to Nvidia, falling by 8.6 percent. SoftBank Group, which recently gained attention for investing in AI technology, also saw its stock fall by 5.4 percent.

The success of DeepSeek raises important questions about the need for massive financial investment in AI. Experts believe that the arrival of DeepSeek challenges the idea that huge capital spending is required to dominate the AI industry. "DeepSeek's release is deeply problematic for the thesis that massive capital expenditure is necessary for AI dominance," said Nirgunan Tiruchelvam, head of consumer and internet at Aletheia Capital, in an interview with Bloomberg.

Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Markets, echoed this point, stating, "While Nvidia has a strong foothold, DeepSeek's emergence underscores that AI dominance cannot be taken for granted."

The success of DeepSeek has also impacted markets around the world. Chinese AI-related stocks saw a rally, with the Shanghai Composite rising 0.2 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbing 0.7 percent. In contrast, Japanese chipmakers, including Advantest, saw their stocks fall.

As the global tech market grapples with the implications of DeepSeek's success, investors are left to wonder what the future holds for major tech companies and the broader semiconductor industry. The emergence of DeepSeek has sparked discussions about the need for innovation and competition in the AI sector, as well as the potential impact on the demand for high-end chips and the broader semiconductor industry.

In conclusion, the tumble in Nasdaq futures serves as a reminder of the volatile nature of the tech market and the ever-evolving landscape of AI development. As China's AI push continues to gain momentum, investors must remain vigilant and adapt to the changing dynamics of the industry to make informed investment decisions.
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