MPC Stock Surges 1.47% on 50.96% Volume Spike, Climbs to 315th Trading Activity Rank

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) saw its shares rise 1.47% on August 4, 2025, with a trading volume of $0.35 billion, marking a 50.96% surge from the previous day. The stock ranked 315th in trading activity, reflecting heightened market interest ahead of its upcoming Q2 earnings report.

Analysts project a decline in Marathon’s quarterly earnings per share (EPS) to $3.22 and revenue to $30.91 billion, both representing year-over-year reductions. Notably, the consensus EPS estimate has been upwardly revised by 22.9% over the past 30 days, signaling a shift in analyst sentiment. Key metrics such as net refinery throughput and Adjusted EBITDA for refining and midstream operations are also expected to show mixed performance, with refining throughput estimates declining and midstream EBITDA showing slight year-on-year growth.

Despite the projected earnings contraction, the upward revision in forecasts suggests a potential alignment between market expectations and operational adjustments. Investors may focus on throughput efficiency and cost management as critical factors influencing short-term performance. The stock’s recent underperformance relative to the broader market underscores the importance of earnings surprises in driving near-term momentum.

The strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day delivered a 166.71% return from 2022 to the present, outperforming the benchmark by 137.53%. This highlights the significance of liquidity concentration in short-term gains, particularly in volatile markets where high-volume activity often correlates with strong investor engagement.