MORPHO +80.73% in 24 Hours Amid Sharp Bullish Momentum

On OCT 14 2025, MORPHO surged by 80.73% within 24 hours, closing at $1.998. This follows a 1718.48% increase over the past 7 days, a 427.97% rise in 30 days, and a year-to-date gain of 427.97%. The token’s rapid ascent has drawn attention from the crypto market as on-chain metrics and price behavior suggest a continuation of the upward trajectory.

The dramatic price movement appears to stem from growing adoption of MORPHO’s protocol within decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems. Recent on-chain data indicates a sharp increase in user activity and liquidity provision, suggesting strong organic growth rather than speculative inflows. While the exact catalyst remains unconfirmed, the velocity of the rally has led to increased visibility for the project.

Market participants are now turning to technical indicators to assess the sustainability of the move. The price has broken through key resistance levels, with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages both trending upwards. A bullish divergence in the RSI and MACD has emerged, signaling potential for further upside. The pattern aligns with a classic “breakout” formation, typically associated with high conviction in price direction.

The recent surge has sparked interest in evaluating historical precedents for similar price events. Analysts are now exploring the utility of backtesting tools to understand potential outcomes following extreme price surges. These tools can help identify whether past similar movements have led to sustained bull runs or eventual corrections.

Backtest Hypothesis

To gain deeper insight into the nature of the current rally, a precise event-driven backtesting approach could be employed. This involves two critical parameters:

1. Ticker / Trading Symbol: The primary data source should be MORPHO-USDT on major crypto exchanges, providing a consistent and liquid benchmark.
2. Event Definition: The surge can be defined as a day-to-day close-to-close return of at least +80.73%, matching the most recent performance metric.

Once these parameters are set, the backtest can proceed by:

• Retrieving the historical price series from January 1, 2022, to the present.
• Identifying all dates where the +80.73% threshold is met.
• Measuring the average performance in the days following each event, including optimal holding periods, risk levels, and drawdown profiles.

This approach would offer a factual basis for understanding the potential sustainability of the current rally, allowing investors to make informed decisions based on historical patterns rather than speculative assumptions.