MoonBull's Potential to Outperform Toncoin in the December 2025 Crypto Rally

The December 2025 crypto market is shaping up as a pivotal battleground for altcoins, with MoonBull (MOBU) and Toncoin (TON) emerging as two of the most discussed contenders. While both tokens have shown promise, a closer examination of technical momentum and on-chain adoption trends reveals why MoonBull may outperform Toncoin in the coming months.

Technical Momentum: A Tale of Two Trajectories

Toncoin's technical indicators paint a mixed picture. As of December 2025, TON trades at $1.641, hovering above its 20-day moving average but below the 50-day and 200-day averages, signaling short-term bullish momentum amid long-term bearish pressure. The 14-day RSI of 51.095 suggests neutral market sentiment, while the MACD (12,26) remains negative at -0.002, indicating a sell bias. Analysts project consolidation between $1.570 and $1.710, with a breakout above $1.710 potentially triggering a rally toward the 50-day average at $1.866. However, TON's broader bearish context and lack of decisive momentum limit its upside.

In contrast, MoonBull's presale structure is engineered for explosive growth. At $0.00008388 in Stage 6 of a 23-stage presale, MOBU has already raised over $640,000 with 2,100 holders. The token's roadmap includes a projected 27.4% price surge before listing, driven by liquidity locks, auto-liquidity mechanisms, and a 60-minute claim delay to prevent dumping. Early investors could see returns exceeding 7,244% if the token reaches its projected listing price of $0.00616. Unlike TON's consolidation phase, MoonBull's technical trajectory is inherently bullish, with structured price appreciation baked into its presale model.

On-Chain Adoption: Network Effects and User Engagement

Toncoin's on-chain metrics highlight its dominance in user engagement. The TON blockchain reported 500,000 daily active addresses in December 2025, securing its position as the fourth most active Layer 1 chain. Wallet activations exceeded 45 million, with 100 million wallets created by October 2024. Daily transaction volumes averaged 2.16 million, surging 32% weekly, while transaction fees spiked 52%, reflecting robust economic activity. These figures underscore TON's integration with Telegram's 900 million-user ecosystem, which provides a built-in audience for decentralized applications.

MoonBull, however, lacks direct on-chain data due to its presale status. Yet, its adoption story is rooted in Ethereum's infrastructure, which hosts over 1.5 million active addresses in December 2025. MOBU's tokenomics-featuring auto-liquidity, reflections, and token burns-align with Ethereum's broader trend of utility-driven growth. The project's liquidity locks (48-hour post-presale, 24-month long-term) and 2% transaction liquidity allocation aim to stabilize its market entry. While TON's user base is vast, MoonBull's Ethereum-based ecosystem offers a more mature environment for DeFi integration, potentially accelerating adoption post-listing.

Strategic Positioning and Market Sentiment

Toncoin's recovery remains constrained by its 48% drop over the past 90 days and a Fear & Greed Index reading of extreme fear. Despite innovations like the Cocoon AI network and STON.fi DAO, TON's price is still below key moving averages, and its technical reversal signals are unconfirmed. Meanwhile, MoonBull's presale has attracted institutional and retail attention, with $650,000 raised and a 163% ROI already achieved. The token's 95% APY staking program and 15% referral bonuses further incentivize holder participation.

Conclusion: MoonBull's Edge in a Volatile Market

While Toncoin's on-chain activity is impressive, its technical indicators and broader market sentiment suggest a cautious outlook. MoonBull, on the other hand, combines structured price appreciation with Ethereum's robust infrastructure, positioning it as a high-conviction play for the December 2025 rally. For investors seeking explosive returns, MOBU's presale mechanics and liquidity safeguards may prove more compelling than TON's gradual recovery.