Monster Beverage Gains 2.25% on Upbeat Earnings Outlook Despite 49.34% Volume Drop to 304th Rank

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Monday, Aug 4, 2025 7:54 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Monster Beverage (MNST) rose 2.25% on August 4, 2025, despite a 49.34% drop in trading volume to $0.37 billion, ranking 304th in market activity.

- Analysts expect Q2 earnings of $0.48/share (+17.1% YoY) and $2.08 billion revenue (+9.6% YoY), with a 1.1% downward EPS forecast revision over 30 days.

- International revenue is projected to grow 19.3% to $837.91 million, outpacing U.S. growth, while strategic brands and Monster Energy drinks are expected to rise 14.4% and 6.4% respectively.

- UBS raised MNST's price target to $64, and Simply Wall St. estimates intrinsic value at $66.28, though Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) reflects cautious optimism amid liquidity-driven market volatility.

Monster Beverage (MNST) rose 2.25% on August 4, 2025, with a trading volume of $0.37 billion, a 49.34% decline from the prior day, ranking 304th in market activity. The stock’s performance aligns with analysts’ expectations for its upcoming Q2 earnings report, scheduled for August 7. Wall Street projects earnings of $0.48 per share, a 17.1% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $2.08 billion, up 9.6% from the prior year. Recent revisions to earnings estimates show a 1.1% downward adjustment in the consensus EPS forecast over 30 days, reflecting analysts’ recalibration of expectations.

Key metrics highlight divergent trends across business segments. Analysts anticipate a 8.2% decline in net sales for the alcohol brands segment to $38.15 million, while strategic brands and Monster Energy drinks are expected to grow by 14.4% and 6.4%, respectively. International revenue is projected to rise 19.3% to $837.91 million, outpacing the 7.1% growth in the U.S. and Canada. These figures underscore the company’s reliance on international markets and its core energy drink portfolio for sustained growth.

UBS recently raised its price target for MNST to $64 from $63, maintaining a Neutral rating, following a sales rebound in April. Simply Wall St. estimates the stock’s intrinsic value at $66.28, suggesting potential upside if earnings meet or exceed forecasts. The stock has outperformed the broader market over the past year but faces a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating, indicating cautious optimism. Analysts note that liquidity concentration in high-volume stocks can amplify short-term performance, as seen in a backtest showing a 166.71% return for top 500 volume stocks held one day from 2022 to present, far exceeding the benchmark’s 29.18%.

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