Mondelez Shares Plummet 6.61% as $1.45 Billion Volume Surge Ranks 56th Amid North American Demand Slump and Cocoa Challenges

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025 10:51 pm ET1min read
MDLZ--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Mondelez shares fell 6.61% with $1.45B volume surge due to North American demand slump and cocoa challenges.

- Soft biscuit demand (-3% volume) and global chocolate declines (-6-7%) driven by high cocoa prices and European heatwaves.

- Management targets emerging markets (Brazil, India, Mexico) for growth and implements "surgical" price hikes to offset costs.

- CFO notes improving cocoa fundamentals but warns of near-term volatility; $9B buyback program continues.

- Backtested high-volume strategy (2022-2025) shows 166.71% returns, outperforming benchmarks by 137.53%.

Mondelez International (MDLZ) closed on July 30, 2025, with a 6.61% decline, trading at $X.XX, as its Q2 earnings call highlighted persistent challenges in North America. The stock saw a 163.18% surge in trading volume to $1.45 billion, ranking 56th in market activity. Key concerns included soft biscuit demand (-3% volume decline in North America) and ongoing retailer destocking, while global chocolate volumes fell 6-7% amid elevated cocoa prices and heatwave-driven demand shifts in Europe.

Management emphasized emerging markets as a growth engine, with double-digit volume expansion in Brazil, India, and Mexico offsetting North American weakness. Strategic pricing actions, including "surgical" price increases in North America and Europe, aim to counter input cost pressures, particularly cocoa. The company also plans to boost media investment in 2026 to support brand resilience in price-sensitive categories.

CFO Luca Zaramella noted cocoa fundamentals are improving, with grinding volumes down 7-8% and supply chain optimism for the 2026 crop. However, near-term volatility remains due to unpredictable factors like weather and economic sentiment. Share repurchases continue under a $9 billion authorization, with recent buys averaging below $60 per share.

A backtested strategy of holding high-volume stocks for one day generated 166.71% returns from 2022 to 2025, outperforming benchmarks by 137.53% with a 31.89% CAGR, underscoring liquidity-driven approaches' efficacy in capitalizing on market trends.

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