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Mondelez Q4 Earnings: Sales Miss, EPS Falls Short, Cocoa Inflation Threatens 2025

Wesley ParkWednesday, Feb 5, 2025 5:57 am ET
4min read



Mondelez International, the global snack food leader behind iconic brands like Oreo and Cadbury, reported lower-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and warned of a 10% decline in adjusted earnings for 2025. The company cited cocoa cost inflation as a major headwind, with prices for the key ingredient surging to historic levels. While Mondelez International has implemented chocolate price increases to offset these rising costs, its leadership acknowledges the challenges ahead as price-sensitive consumers react to higher product prices.

Shares of Mondelez International dropped 5% to $53.70 in after-hours trading following the announcement, reflecting investor caution about the company's ability to maintain profitability in a volatile economic environment. Over the past year, Mondelez International's stock has fallen approximately 25%, reflecting broader concerns about inflationary pressures in the food industry.

Mondelez International reported a fourth-quarter net profit of $1.75 billion, or $1.30 per share, a significant increase from the $950 million, or $0.70 per share, posted in the same period last year. However, adjusted earnings per share (EPS), which exclude one-time costs, stood at $0.65—falling short of analyst forecasts of $0.66, according to FactSet.

On a constant currency basis, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) decreased 16%, largely due to weaker operating results and lower equity method investment earnings. This shortfall, combined with mounting cocoa cost inflation, underscores the challenges Mondelez International faces in maintaining its profit margins.

Despite these setbacks, Mondelez International reported total revenue growth of 3%, reaching $9.60 billion, just shy of the $9.64 billion forecast by analysts. The company remains optimistic about organic net revenue growth, projecting a 5% increase in 2025, even as higher raw material costs continue to put pressure on profitability.

How is Mondelez International navigating cocoa cost inflation?
With cocoa prices reaching record highs, Mondelez International faces increasing pressure to raise chocolate prices while ensuring that demand remains stable. The company has acknowledged that these price adjustments may lead to some consumer resistance, particularly as shoppers continue to grapple with post-pandemic inflation.

CEO Dirk Van de Put stated that the company is executing its chocolate business strategy to manage rising input costs while sustaining long-term growth. “We are navigating unprecedented cocoa cost inflation while remaining committed to our growth strategy,” he said.

See also Barilla inaugurates expanded pasta manufacturing plant in Ames
On February 4, 2025, Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ) released its 8-K filing detailing its financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. The company, a global leader in the snack industry with iconic brands like Oreo and Cadbury, reported a mixed financial performance, with revenue surpassing expectations but earnings per share (EPS) falling short.

Over the past year, Mondelez International’s stock has fallen approximately 25%, reflecting broader concerns about inflationary pressures in the food industry. The company’s fourth-quarter net profit of $1.75 billion, or $1.30 per share, was a significant increase from the $950 million, or $0.70 per share, posted in the same period last year. However, adjusted earnings per share (EPS), which exclude one-time costs, stood at $0.65—falling short of analyst forecasts of $0.66, according to FactSet.

On a constant currency basis, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) decreased 16%, largely due to weaker operating results and lower equity method investment earnings. This shortfall, combined with mounting cocoa cost inflation, underscores the challenges Mondelez International faces in maintaining its profit margins.

Despite these setbacks, Mondelez International reported total revenue growth of 3%, reaching $9.60 billion, just shy of the $9.64 billion forecast by analysts. The company remains optimistic about organic net revenue growth, projecting a 5% increase in 2025, even as higher raw material costs continue to put pressure on profitability.

Mondelez International’s performance highlights the impact of commodity price volatility on the food and snack sector. With cocoa cost inflation at unprecedented levels, the company’s near-term profitability remains under pressure, leading to cautious investor sentiment. As Mondelez International implements chocolate price increases and adjusts its cost structure, market watchers will be closely monitoring whether these efforts can sustain revenue growth without significantly impacting consumer demand.

2020-2025's other revenue(6531)
Other Revenue(USD)2025.12.31
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In conclusion, Mondelez International’s latest earnings report underscores the challenges faced by the snack industry in the face of commodity price volatility, particularly cocoa cost inflation. As the company navigates these headwinds and implements strategic initiatives to maintain market share and profitability, investors will be closely watching its progress in the coming quarters.
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donutloop
02/05
$MDLZ is a solid company but they do offer products that aren't healthy for us. removing from my watchlist. GL
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joaopedrosp
02/05
$MDLZ nice comeback
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rw4455
02/05
$MDLZ down 4.3% Mondelez (MDLZ) Misses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Marks check this out https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mondelez-mdlz-lags-q4-earnings-222513331.html
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clefjames
02/05

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A_Moron_In-Existence
02/05
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BenGrahamButler
02/05
@clefjames I had a decent chunk of MDLZ, sold it too soon, and now I'm kicking myself. FOMO is real, man.
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02/05

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Funny_Story2759
02/05
@Sarah Kelly Sure
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Sarah Kelly
02/05

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iamsam22222
02/05
@Sarah Kelly alright
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Corpulos
02/05
Oreo sales miss, but who's eating all the biscuits?
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conquistudor
02/05
@Corpulos Guess the biscuits are just HODLing their value.
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pais_tropical
02/05
MDLZ needs to balance price hikes with consumer patience. Long-term strategy is key, but tough sledding ahead.
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Protect_your_2a
02/05
@pais_tropical Totally agree, tough road ahead.
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falcongrinder
02/05
@pais_tropical Think MDLZ can pull it off?
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2strange4things
02/05
Holding some MDLZ, hedging with $Cocoa futures.
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Substance_Technical
02/05
MDLZ trying to milk the cow dry with prices.
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johnnyko55555
02/05
@Substance_Technical True, MDLZ feeling the pinch with price hikes.
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AGNES MORALES
02/05

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SuperNewk
02/05
@AGNES MORALES How long did it take you to grow your account from $1000 to $8850, and what specific stocks or strategies did you use?
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RadioactiveCobalt
02/05
MDLZ trying to navigate cocoa inflation like a tightrope walker on a unicycle. 🤔
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tenebrium38
02/05
Mondelez is caught in a cocoa crunch. Higher prices might pinch margins, but diversification could be their ace.
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MacaroniWithDaCheese
02/05
5% drop? Market just a mood ring for MDLZ.
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JRshoe1997
02/05
@MacaroniWithDaCheese What's your take on MDLZ long-term?
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Ok-Razzmatazz-2645
02/05
@MacaroniWithDaCheese Agreed, market's all over the place.
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