Mnuchin: Tax Cuts to Shrink Deficit 10% in a Decade

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Thursday, Jun 12, 2025 2:04 pm ET1min read

U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has stated that the recently enacted tax cut legislation is expected to reduce the federal budget deficit over the next decade. This projection was made during a Senate Finance Committee hearing where Mnuchin addressed various assessments of the tax law's impact on the budget deficit. He noted that while there are differing evaluations, his personal expectation is that the deficit will decrease over the ten-year period following the implementation of the tax cuts.

Mnuchin's remarks come as the tax legislation, which includes significant reductions in corporate and individual tax rates, is currently under negotiation in the Senate. The bill, which passed the House of Representatives last month, is a key component of the Trump administration's economic agenda. Mnuchin acknowledged that the impact of the tax cuts on federal borrowing is still uncertain, but he expressed confidence that the economic benefits will outweigh the immediate fiscal costs.

Mnuchin's projection contrasts with estimates from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO), which calculated that the tax law would increase the U.S. deficit by 2.4 trillion dollars over the next decade. The CBO's estimate does not account for the dynamic effects of the tax cuts on economic growth or borrowing costs. Additionally, the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania estimated that the tax law would increase the budget deficit by 2.8 trillion dollars. Mnuchin disagreed with the CBO's methodology but acknowledged the office's estimate of the revenue impact of President Trump's tariff plan, which is projected to generate 2.8 trillion dollars over ten years.

Mnuchin emphasized that the administration's economic policies, including the tax cuts and trade measures, are designed to stimulate economic growth and job creation. He argued that the tax cuts will spur economic activity, leading to increased tax revenues and a reduction in the deficit over time. Despite concerns about the potential impact of these policies on the federal budget deficit and national debt, Mnuchin remains optimistic about the long-term benefits of the tax cuts.

Mnuchin's comments come at a time when the U.S. economy is facing several challenges, including rising inflation and trade tensions with other countries. The administration's economic policies are aimed at addressing these challenges and promoting long-term economic growth. However, critics have raised concerns about the potential impact of these policies on the federal budget deficit and the national debt. Mnuchin's projection that the deficit will decrease over the next decade is a testament to the administration's belief in the effectiveness of its economic policies.

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