Summary
• Price opened at $0.0849 and closed at $0.08594 with a 1.23% upward bias.
• Volatility expanded in overnight trading, with a 4.1% low-to-high range.
• Volume spiked in late ET morning, confirming a breakout above key resistance.
Mitosis/Tether (MITOUSDT) opened at $0.0849 (12:00 ET -1), hit a high of $0.08594, a low of $0.07858, and closed at $0.08594 by 12:00 ET. Total traded volume reached ~12,439,771.5 MITO, with notional turnover of ~$1,053,678.50 over the 24-hour period.
Structure & Formations
Price action over the last 24 hours revealed a clear bearish breakdown and subsequent bullish recovery. A sharp decline from $0.0849 to $0.08053 (a 5.2% drop) was followed by a rebound that culminated in a bullish engulfing pattern after 04:00 ET. The pattern confirmed a reversal and a strong move back above the critical $0.0845–0.085 resistance cluster. A key support level at $0.0821 was tested twice and held, forming a potential base for further consolidation.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period SMAs both crossed below key support levels during the overnight selloff, but a retrace above both indicators suggests a potential short-term reversal. For the daily chart, the 50-period SMA at $0.0837 and 200-period SMA at $0.0818 suggest a potential mid-term bullish bias if the current rally continues.
MACD & RSI
MACD turned positive after 04:00 ET, with the line crossing above the signal line, confirming bullish momentum. RSI moved into overbought territory (above 60) by 08:00 ET, suggesting a risk of pullback. However, the RSI divergence during the 03:00–06:00 ET window indicated strong buying interest, supporting the view of a potential continuation.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded overnight, with the Bollinger Bands widening from a 0.6% range to a 4.1% range. Price found support at the lower band at $0.0805 and later moved above the upper band ($0.0859) by 07:30 ET, suggesting a breakout with potential follow-through.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the rebound phase (04:00–06:00 ET) and again during the final 2-hour push to the high. The increased volume during the upmove suggests confirmation of the bullish reversal. However, turnover remained relatively steady, indicating that the rally was driven by concentrated buying rather than broad market participation.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels from the 0.0849–0.0785 swing showed 61.8% at $0.0829 and 38.2% at $0.0842. Price tested both levels, consolidating briefly before breaking out to the upside. On the daily chart, a 61.8% retracement from a prior major downtrend lies near $0.0855–0.086, aligning with recent highs.
Backtest Hypothesis
An attempt to retrieve a 14-period RSI series for MITOUSDT failed due to data unavailability, which is a common issue with less liquid or newly listed tokens. If RSI were available, a potential backtest could have used it in conjunction with moving average crossovers and volume spikes to identify entry and exit signals. For example, an RSI-based strategy might look for long entries after an RSI dip below 30 (oversold) with a bullish crossover in the 20/50 SMA, confirmed by rising volume. Given the current data constraints, such a strategy would require a custom dataset or a switch to a more liquid pair.
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