Mid-Cap ETFs: MDY's Underperformance and Future Market Conditions Support Investing in Mid-Cap Stocks for Higher Returns

Sunday, Jul 27, 2025 8:21 am ET1min read

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:MDY) has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 and other mid-cap ETFs, with a year-to-date price gain of only 2% and a twelve-month price surge of 6%. Despite this, future market conditions support mid-cap investing, offering the potential for lofty returns.

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: MDY) has been underperforming compared to the S&P 500 and other mid-cap ETFs, with a year-to-date price gain of only 2% and a twelve-month price surge of 6%. Despite this, future market conditions support mid-cap investing, offering the potential for lofty returns.

The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (MDY) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&P Mid Cap 400 index, a market cap-weighted index of mid-cap US companies. Launched on May 4, 1995, MDY has amassed $21.3 billion in assets under management [1]. The fund's top holdings include Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME), and Flex Ltd. (FLEX), among others [1].

Recent market conditions have seen large-cap stocks outperform mid-cap equities, leading to a valuation gap. However, this gap presents an opportunity for mid-cap stocks to revert to the mean as market cycles shift and valuations adjust. The SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (MDY) offers a potential buy-low opportunity [2].

Justin Burgin, Vice President of Equity Research at Ameriprise Financial, notes that while the fundamental backdrop for stocks remains positive, a more nuanced approach to portfolio positioning may be warranted due to evolving economic conditions [3]. The strength of corporate earnings, driven in part by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), is a bright spot for investors [3].

Looking at the one-year price performance of MDY, the fund's low point was $458.82 per share, with a 52-week high of $624.125. The most recent share price of $587.65 compares favorably to the 200-day moving average [2]. This technical analysis suggests that MDY may be undervalued relative to its peers.

In conclusion, despite recent underperformance, the SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (MDY) offers investors an opportunity to capitalize on the potential for mid-cap stocks to outperform. With a well-diversified portfolio and a history of solid returns, MDY presents a compelling case for mid-cap investing.

References:
[1] https://stockanalysis.com/etf/mdy/
[2] https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mdy-ibkr-eme-flex-large-outflows-detected-etf
[3] https://www.ameriprise.com/financial-news-research/insights/2025-midyear-equity-outlook

Mid-Cap ETFs: MDY's Underperformance and Future Market Conditions Support Investing in Mid-Cap Stocks for Higher Returns

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