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Microstrategy (MSTR) closed July 30 with a 0.10% gain, despite a 28.49% decline in trading volume to $3.00 billion, ranking 27th among stocks. The firm is set to release Q2 2025 earnings results on July 31, with analysts forecasting a per-share loss of $0.10—narrower than the $0.57 loss in the prior-year period. Revenue is projected to rise 1.9% to $113.5 million, driven by its Bitcoin treasury strategy and enterprise analytics operations. The company recently raised $2.5 billion through a preferred stock issuance, allocating the proceeds to purchase 21,021 BTC, expanding its total reserves to 628,791 coins.
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Brett Knoblauch upgraded MSTR’s price target to $680 and reiterated a Buy rating, citing its unique position as a Bitcoin-focused enterprise analytics firm. He estimates the company could accumulate 1 million BTC within three years at current purchase rates. Analysts surveyed by GuruFocus show a wide range of 12-month price targets, averaging $495.38, with a high of $680 and a low of $200. The average target implies a potential 25.52% upside from the current price of $394.66, though nine warning signs remain under scrutiny.
A strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day generated a 166.71% return from 2022 to the present, significantly outperforming a 29.18% benchmark return. This approach achieved a 31.89% compound annual growth rate and 137.53% excess return, underscoring its effectiveness in capturing liquidity-driven market movements. However, the strategy’s reliance on short-term volatility and liquidity trends carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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