MetLife Plummets 3.72% as Earnings Outlook Dulls, Ranked 336th in Market Activity Volume-Driven Strategy Outperforms with 166.71% Return Since 2022

On July 30, 2025, MetLife (MET) closed with a 3.72% decline, trading at a volume of $0.37 billion, ranking 336th in market activity. The drop follows expectations of a quarterly earnings downturn, with analysts forecasting earnings per share of $2.19—a 4% year-over-year decline—and revenues of $18.39 billion, down 1.5% from the prior year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has seen a 0.77% downward revision over 30 days, reflecting analysts’ reduced optimism. A Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) and an Earnings ESP of 0% suggest limited confidence in outperforming estimates, as historical data shows MetLife has beaten consensus EPS only once in the past four quarters.

The earnings report, scheduled for August 6, will be closely watched for clarity on business conditions. While a positive surprise could drive short-term momentum, the company’s recent performance—marked by a -1.51% earnings surprise in the last quarter—highlights execution risks. Investors are advised to monitor management commentary for insights into strategic adjustments or market dynamics that could influence future guidance.

A volume-based trading strategy demonstrated robust returns from 2022 to the present, achieving 166.71% versus the benchmark’s 29.18%. This approach, selecting the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding for one day, showed consistent outperformance across monthly, quarterly, and annual periods. The methodology’s success underscores the predictive power of liquidity-driven stock selection, capturing short-term price movements tied to investor sentiment and market activity.