Meta’s Options Signal a Bullish Setup: Target $650–$700 as AI and Energy Bets Pay Off

• Meta’s options market is loaded with call open interest at $650 and $700 strikes, hinting at a potential breakout.
• RSI at 28 and oversold conditions suggest a rebound could be near, but Bollinger Bands show the stock is trading near its lower bound.
• A $680 call block trade (META20260417C680) hints at long-term bullish positioning, despite recent VR-related headwinds.

Here’s the thing: Meta’s options activity and technicals are painting a clear picture. Traders are betting on a rebound above $650, and the stock’s oversold RSI could spark a short-term rally. But the bigger story is Meta’s pivot to AI and energy—two moves that could redefine its value proposition.

The Options Playbook: Calls Dominate, Puts Guard the Floor

The options chain is a goldmine of insight. For this Friday’s expiration, the top call open interest is stacked at $650 (18,201 contracts) and $700 (33,799), while puts are clustered near the $600–$620 range. This isn’t random—calls at $650 and above suggest traders expect a push toward Meta’s 30D resistance (658–659). The put activity, meanwhile, acts like a safety net: if the stock dips below $622.53 (lower Bollinger Band), the $620 puts could limit downside.

But here’s the kicker: A massive block trade on the META20260417C680 call (304 contracts at $706,800) signals big money is hedging a long-term bet. That strike price is 10% above today’s price—someone’s confident Meta’s AI and energy plays will pay off by April.

News That Could Fuel the Fire

Meta’s VR shutdowns and AI pivot are polarizing. Killing Supernatural, a beloved VR fitness app, has critics howling about stifled innovation. But for the stock, this is a strategic move. By cutting losses in VR and doubling down on smart glasses and AI, Meta is streamlining its roadmap. The nuclear energy deal? That’s a masterstroke for its data centers. Securing 6.6 gigawatts of power isn’t just about reliability—it’s a signal that Meta’s infrastructure bets are locked in for the long haul.

Investor sentiment is split. The VR purists might sell off, but AI and energy optimists could drive buying. The key is whether Meta’s pivot is seen as a rebirth or a retreat. Right now, options data leans toward the former.

Trade Ideas: Calls for the Rebound, Stock for the Breakout

If you’re bullish on the rebound, the META20260123C650 call (expiring next Friday) is a clean play. At $623.79, the stock needs a 1.3% move to touch breakeven—but with RSI at 28 and support near $622.53, this could happen. For a longer-term bet, the META20260417C680 block trade strike offers leverage if Meta’s AI story gains traction.

For stock traders: Watch the $622.53 level (lower Bollinger Band). If it holds, consider entries near $625–$627 with a target at $650 (30D resistance). A break above $659.52 (200D support-turned-resistance) would validate the bullish case. Stop-loss below $615 would protect against a breakdown.

Volatility on the Horizon: Positioning for Meta’s Strategic Shifts

Meta isn’t just a stock—it’s a battleground for the future of tech. The options market is pricing in a $650–$700 range battle, while the news flow hints at a company reinventing itself. The risks? VR disillusionment and AI overpromising. But the rewards? A stock that’s trading at 26.7 P/E with a 23.7% free cash flow margin still has room to surprise.

Bottom line: This is a stock at an inflection point. The options data says traders are ready for a rebound. The news says Meta’s all-in on AI and energy. If you’re in, play it smart—use the $650 calls as a leveraged play and keep an eye on that $622.53 support. Because in Meta’s world, the next move could be the most important one yet.