Meta (META) Options Signal High Conviction in $700+ Move—Here’s How to Position for the Energy-Powered Bull Run

• Options OI shows 35,901 contracts at $700 call (next Friday expiry), 15x higher than nearest rival
• Block trades reveal $3.25M sell call at $670 strike, hinting at short-term profit-taking risk
• Nuclear energy deals add 6.6 GW capacity by 2035, but China acquisition review creates near-term regulatory fog

Meta’s stock is dancing on a tightrope today—technical indicators whisper caution while options data screams bullish ambition. With the stock trading at $651.85 (up 0.9% from open), the real story lies in the options market: 35,901 open contracts at the $700 call (expiring Jan 16) suggest big money is betting on a sharp rebound. But let’s dig deeper.

Bullish OI vs Bearish Block Trades: A Tale of Two Sentiments

The options chain tells a split-screen story. For next Friday’s expiry, the META20260116C700 call has 35,901 open contracts—over 15x the next highest at $800. That’s not just noise; it’s a vote of confidence in Meta’s ability to break above its 200D MA ($674.70) and test the $700 level. But don’t ignore the bearish signal: a $3.25M block trade at META20260116C670 (sell call) suggests some whales are hedging against a short-term pullback.

Meanwhile, puts at $640 and $650 have 10k+ OI, indicating a floor around the Bollinger Band lower bound ($642). If the stock dips below $642.89, watch for a test of the 30D support at $658.30. The MACD histogram (-1.5) and RSI (48) hint at oversold conditions, but the long-term rangebound pattern means volatility could swing either way.

Nuclear News: A Green Light for AI, A Red Flag for Regulators

Meta’s 6.6 GW nuclear deals with Vistra, TerraPower, and Oklo are a masterstroke for its AI infrastructure—clean energy means cheaper, greener data centers. But the $2B China acquisition review is a speed bump. The market’s mixed reaction (0.5% dip post-announcement) shows investors love the long-term vision but fear near-term regulatory friction.

Here’s the kicker: the options data aligns with the bullish narrative. High OI at $700+ calls suggests traders are pricing in a post-announcement rebound, assuming the China deal gets approved. If not? The $640–$650 put-heavy zone becomes critical.

Actionable Trades: Ride the Bull or Hedge the Bear

For options traders, the META20260116C700 call is a high-conviction play. Entry near $655 (current price) with a target at $700 (strike price) offers 7.5% upside in 7 days. If you’re risk-averse, a bull call spread using $670 (buy) and $700 (sell) strikes could cap losses while still capturing a rebound.

Stock traders should watch the 200D MA ($674.70) as a dynamic target. Consider entry near $674.70 if the stock holds above the Bollinger Band middle ($656.55). A break below $642.89 (intraday low) would justify a short-term bearish put spread at $640–$630.Volatility on the Horizon: Balancing Bullish Momentum and Regulatory Uncertainty

Meta’s options market is a battleground between AI optimism and regulatory caution. The nuclear deals are a long-term tailwind, but the China acquisition review could create a speed bump. For now, the data favors bulls—META20260116C700 is the contract to watch. If the stock holds above $642, the path to $700 is clearer than ever. But keep an eye on the $640–$650 put-heavy zone: it could become a lifeline if sentiment shifts.

Bottom line: This is a high-conviction trade for those who believe Meta’s energy bets will outpace regulatory hiccups. The options market is already pricing in a win—now it’s up to reality to catch up.