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The call-heavy OI at $675 (9,544 contracts) and $700 (7,036) suggests traders are pricing in a potential push toward $690–$700 by year-end. These strikes align with Meta’s 100D MA ($713.08) and key resistance levels from late 2024. But don’t ignore the puts: the $630 strike (4,790 OI) acts as a psychological floor. If the stock dips below its intraday low of $662.42, that support could crumble, triggering a test of the 30D support at $608.65.
Block trades add intrigue. The largest, a $2.37M bet on the
call (expiring Jan 16, 2026), signals long-term confidence in Meta’s AI pivot. Meanwhile, recent sell calls at $780 and $800 (expiring Nov 21) suggest some profit-taking ahead of earnings, but the volume here is minimal compared to the bullish bets.News Flow: AI Wins Out Over Metaverse CutsMeta’s AI partnerships with CNN, Fox, and USA Today are the real story here. These deals aren’t just about data—they’re about positioning Meta’s AI chatbot as a go-to news source, which could drive user engagement and ad revenue. The Metaverse cuts, while headline-grabbing, are already priced in: the stock gapped up 5% on the news, but the 30D MA ($645.44) and 200D MA ($671.57) suggest the market sees this as a necessary pivot, not a death knell.
Investor perception matters. Retail traders love AI narratives, and Meta’s real-time news integration could attract a new wave of users. But if the AI rollout stumbles or the Metaverse unit’s losses hit $80B+ by 2026, the puts at $630 and below could see a rush.
Actionable Trade Ideas: Calls, Breakouts, and StopsFor options:
For stock:
The next two weeks will test Meta’s resolve. A close above $685 could validate the bullish case, while a drop below $650 would reignite bearish bets. The options market is already pricing in a 68% chance of staying above $630 (based on put/call ratios), but don’t sleep on the 30D support at $608.65—it’s a make-or-break level for the AI narrative.
Bottom line: This is a stock at a crossroads. The AI partnerships are a win, but execution matters. For now, the data says buy the rumor, sell the news—but only if you’re disciplined with stops. The next leg of this story hinges on whether Meta’s chatbot becomes a news hub or a footnote in the AI race.

Focus on daily option trades

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