Mercury Systems Q4 2025: Key Contradictions in Working Capital, Backlog Margins, and Revenue Projections

Generated by AI AgentEarnings Decrypt
Monday, Aug 11, 2025 9:45 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Mercury Systems reported Q4 revenue of $273M (9.9% YoY) and $912M annual revenue (9.2% YoY), driven by defense demand and Star Lab acquisition.

- Adjusted EBITDA rose to $51M (18.8% margin) with 31% gross margin, up 160 bps YoY, from program mix and backlog margin expansion.

- Free cash flow reached $34M in Q4 ($119M annual) while reducing net working capital by $90M YoY through improved execution and demand planning.

- Record $1.4B backlog (book-to-bill 1.13) reflects organic growth in radar/sensor programs, but working capital management and margin projections remain key contradictions.

Working capital and deferred revenue management, backlog margin improvement, unbilled receivables impact on revenue and cash flow, gross margin projections, backlog and revenue progression are the key contradictions discussed in Mercury Systems' latest 2025Q4 earnings call.



Strong Revenue and Bookings Growth:
- Revenue grew to $273 million in Q4, up 9.9% year-on-year, and full-year revenue was $912 million, up 9.2% year-over-year.
- Record quarterly bookings reached $342 million, up 20% year-over-year.
- The growth was driven by increased demand in defense primes, the acquisition of Star Lab adding new production awards, and expanded production agreements with European defense primes.

Improved Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion:
- Adjusted EBITDA increased to $51 million in Q4, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.8%.
- Gross margin improved to 31%, an increase of 160 basis points year-over-year.
- Margin expansion was attributed to favorable program mix, reduced net EAC changes, and backlog margin expansion.

Free Cash Flow and Working Capital Reduction:
- Free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $34 million, and for the full fiscal year, it reached $119 million.
- Net working capital was reduced by $90 million year-over-year or 16.7%.
- This was achieved through continuous improvement in program execution, accelerating deliveries, and better demand planning.

Focus on Organic Growth and Margin Improvement:
- The company's record backlog of $1.4 billion was a result of a full-year book-to-bill ratio of 1.13.
- Organic growth was driven by significant contract awards in ground-based radar programs, sensor processing subsystems, and space programs.
- Margin improvement was influenced by backlog margin expansion and operational efficiency initiatives.

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