The Math That Could Predict Bitcoin’s Peak

Written byAdam Shapiro
Friday, Aug 8, 2025 11:35 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Dr. Benjamin Cowen presents a ROI "cycle-day" model predicting Bitcoin peaks since 2013.

- Bitcoin is now at cycle day 996, with previous peaks at days 1059 and 1067, suggesting a Q4 2025 blow-off.

- The model forecasts a potential 70% post-peak drawdown, highlighting market volatility risks.

📺 Drops Monday 8/11/2025 @ 6AM ET

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Capital & Power
truth from real investors, not polished pundits. 📈🔍Ready to stop guessing Bitcoin’s top and start quantifying it? In this episode of Capital & Power, Dr. Benjamin Cowen (Into The Cryptoverse) walks through the ROI “cycle-day” model that has pinpointed every major
Bitcoin
peak since 2013. With BTC now ~day 996 into its current cycle—previous tops landed on days 1059 & 1067—Cowen lays out why Q4 2025 could mark the next blow-off and what a 70 % post-peak drawdown might look like.

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author avatar
Adam Shapiro

Adam Shapiro is a three-time Emmy Award–winning content creator, former network news correspondent, and founder of the multimedia production company TALKENOMICS. At AInvest, he created and launched Capital & Power, a video podcast series designed to drive engagement and establish thought leadership, while also producing original live streams, financial articles, and investor-focused video content. Previously, as a correspondent at FOX Business, Shapiro established the network’s Washington, D.C. bureau, reported from the White House, Capitol Hill, and the Federal Reserve, and secured exclusive bipartisan interviews with influential leaders. His reporting helped solidify FOX Business as the most-watched business channel on television. At the same time, his original Talkenomics series drew tens of thousands of viewers per episode through insightful conversations with policymakers, economists, and thought leaders. At Yahoo Finance, he played a critical leadership role in expanding digital programming to eight hours of live, bell-to-bell financial news coverage, dramatically increasing traffic from 68M to 104M unique monthly visitors and growing ad revenue from zero to over $50 million annually. Yahoo Finance continues to benefit from the credibility of Shapiro’s exclusive interviews with former President Donald Trump and numerous Fortune 500 CEOs.