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MasterBrand (MBC) shares plummeted 4.64% today, hitting their lowest level since May 2023, with an intraday decline of 5.51%.
The strategy of buying shares after they reached a recent low and holding for 1 week resulted in a 9.16% annual return with 66.88% of months positive over the past 5 years, slightly underperforming the benchmark's 13.81% annual return with 69.38% of months positive. This indicates the strategy achieved decent returns but faced market challenges, particularly in 2022 when the portfolio experienced a significant decline of -17.95%, reflecting broader market volatility.MasterBrand's stock price has been influenced by several key factors. The company's first quarter 2025 earnings report showed a 3.5% increase in revenue to US$660.3 million compared to the same period last year. However, net income saw a significant drop of 65% to US$13.3 million. This mixed financial performance has likely contributed to the recent decline in stock price, as investors grapple with the company's profitability challenges despite revenue growth.
Additionally, MasterBrand's management has set a target for adjusted EBITDA of $315 million for 2025. However, they have also revised their market outlook downward, citing weaker-than-expected demand in the repair, remodel, and new construction markets. This adjustment in expectations may further impact the stock valuation, as investors reassess the company's growth prospects in a challenging market environment.

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