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Market Volatility Rises as Trump's Fed Criticism Sparks Investor Anxiety

Julian CruzMonday, Apr 21, 2025 12:12 pm ET
2min read

President Donald Trump’s escalating public attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in early April 2025 have sent shockwaves through global markets, with stocks, the U.S. dollar, and investor confidence reeling from the political crossfire. The episode underscores the fragility of central bank independence and the high stakes of political interference in monetary policy.

On April 16, Trump lashed out on Truth Social, branding Powell a “major loser” and demanding immediate interest rate cuts to “avoid economic slowdown.” His rhetoric intensified existing tensions, as he had previously threatened to terminate Powell—a move legally barred under federal law—and explored avenues to remove him before his term ends in May 2026. Powell responded by reaffirming the Fed’s autonomy, stating, “Our independence is a matter of law,” and emphasizing data-driven decisions.

The market’s reaction was swift and severe. By April 17, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 750 points (1.9%) in early trading, while the S&P 500 fell 2.1% and the Nasdaq slid 2.65%. The highlighted the depth of investor unease. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index dropped 1.1%, hitting its lowest level in over three years, as traders lost faith in the greenback amid fears of Fed policy paralysis.

Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year rate climbing to 4.365%—its highest since late 2022—reflecting inflationary fears and skepticism toward Trump’s tariff policies. Gold prices skyrocketed to a record $3,400 per ounce, a 2% single-day gain, as investors sought refuge in safe assets.

Analysts warned that Trump’s assault on the Fed’s credibility risked compounding economic risks. Krishna Guha of Evercore ISI cautioned that political interference could deter rate cuts, exacerbating volatility. “A Powell removal would trigger severe market reactions—higher yields, a weaker dollar, and equity sell-offs,” he said. The European Central Bank’s recent rate cut contrasted sharply with the Fed’s inaction, intensifying criticism of Powell’s cautious stance.

Trump’s trade policies further fueled uncertainty. His 145% tariffs on Chinese imports, imposed to curb inflation, have backfired, raising input costs and slowing growth. Powell warned of stagflation—a dangerous mix of rising prices and stagnant growth—at the Economic Club of Chicago on April 16. “Tariffs complicate the Fed’s job,” he said, signaling a “wait-and-see mode” until clearer data emerges.

Legal ambiguities added to the turmoil. While Powell’s term protections under federal law appear secure, Trump’s team explored Supreme Court precedents on agency independence. Analysts, however, warned that even attempting removal could spook markets further.

Investors now face a precarious balancing act. The shows yields rising for four consecutive weeks, signaling deepening anxiety. Morgan Stanley noted the Fed’s hesitation risks prolonging uncertainty, while Capital Economics highlighted eroding confidence in U.S. economic policy.

In conclusion, Trump’s April 2025 campaign against the Fed chair has created a perfect storm of market instability. Stocks dropped sharply, the dollar weakened, gold hit records, and Treasury yields climbed—all reflecting investor fears of economic mismanagement and political interference. With Powell’s term extending until 2026 and trade tensions unresolved, the path forward remains fraught. The data speaks plainly: since April 16, the S&P 500 has lost 4.3%, the dollar index has fallen 2.8%, and gold prices have surged 5.2%. These numbers underscore the high cost of politicizing monetary policy. Investors now await clarity on the Fed’s next move, but with political pressures mounting, the storm may yet worsen.

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