• Zcash consolidates near $44.30 with a bullish reversal pattern forming after a 4-hour decline.
• Volume spiked during the 4–6 AM ET rally, confirming the strength of the recent bounce.
• RSI and MACD show divergences, hinting at potential overbought conditions ahead.
• Volatility remains elevated, with price hovering near the upper Bollinger Band.
• Fibonacci retracement levels suggest a potential target at $44.80 if the current trend continues.
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Zcash (ZECUSDT) opened at $44.20 on July 16 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $44.89, touched a low of $43.55, and closed at $44.34 by 12:00 ET on July 17. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 44,557.53 ZEC, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,955,464.
Structure & Formations
Price action over the past 24 hours shows a distinct consolidation pattern after a sharp intraday pullback. A bullish engulfing pattern formed in the early hours of July 17, signaling potential short-term reversal. Key support levels are identified around $44.00 and $43.80, while resistance is forming at $44.50 and $44.80. A doji formed near $44.20 at 05:15 AM ET, suggesting indecision and possible reversal.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are in close proximity, with price currently above both, indicating a mildly bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is below the 100 and 200-period MAs, suggesting a longer-term bearish trend that may continue unless a strong breakout occurs.
MACD & RSI
The MACD turned positive during the 4–6 AM ET rally, confirming the bullish momentum. The RSI has moved into overbought territory above 60, suggesting caution for near-term traders. Divergence between RSI and price suggests the rally may lose steam unless volume remains strong.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has increased significantly, with price touching the upper band multiple times in the last 12 hours. This suggests a period of heightened buying pressure. A contraction in the bands earlier in the day preceded the breakout, indicating a potential resumption of trend formation.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the 4–6 AM ET rally, with the 05:30–06:00 ET candle showing a high of $44.55 and a volume of 734.926 ZEC. Turnover during this period was $32,639. Notable divergence occurs at 06:15–07:00 ET, where price dipped but volume remained moderate, suggesting potential accumulation.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the recent 4-hour swing from $43.55 to $44.89, key retracement levels are at $44.33 (38.2%), $44.13 (50%), and $43.93 (61.8%). Price has bounced near the 38.2% level, suggesting a potential target at $44.80 if the current trend continues. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement level is at $44.60, which could act as a short-term ceiling.
Zcash appears to be entering a consolidation phase after a sharp 4-hour rally. A breakout above $44.80 may confirm a resumption of the bullish trend. However, traders should remain cautious due to overbought RSI and potential divergence in momentum indicators. A retest of key support at $44.00 is likely if the market corrects.
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