Summary
• Price formed bullish engulfing and hammer patterns during recovery from 382.6 to 415.0 on 24-hour 5-min chart.
• RSI reached overbought territory above 70, suggesting potential pullback, while MACD crossed into positive territory.
• Volatility expanded as Bollinger Bands widened, with price near the upper band at close.
• Volume surged during late-night to early-morning rally, confirming upward momentum.
• Fibonacci retracement levels indicate 382.6 as key support and 415.0–420.0 as resistance on near-term swings.
Zcash/Tether (ZECUSDT) opened at 397.57 on 2025-12-18 at 12:00 ET, touched a low of 382.6 and a high of 439.81, and closed at 436.4 at 12:00 ET the next day. Total volume for the 24-hour window was 161,681.79 ZEC, with a notional turnover of approximately $70,684,312. Price action showed a strong late-night rally followed by a consolidation phase, with key levels tested around 390.0 and 415.0.
Structure & Formations
Price tested a key support level at 382.6 after an early-morning selloff and formed a
support level. A bullish engulfing pattern occurred near the 400.0 level, confirming a short-term recovery. On the higher end, a strong rejection near 436.4 formed a potential near-term resistance cluster. These patterns suggest a possible continuation of the upward move, provided price remains above 390.0.
Moving Averages and Momentum
Short-term 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart crossed above the price during the late-night rally, confirming a bullish bias. Daily moving averages (50, 100, and 200) appear to be aligning with the 400–410 range, suggesting a possible confluence of support/resistance. MACD turned positive and crossed the signal line, indicating rising momentum, while RSI approached overbought territory, hinting at a possible pause or pullback.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the 24-hour period, with Bollinger Bands widening and the price closing near the upper band. This suggests a strong move toward the top of the volatility range and may indicate exhaustion or a temporary overbought condition. A pullback toward the mid-band (around 410–415) may be likely in the near term.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the rally from 382.6 to 415.0, especially during the 03:00–07:00 ET period. Notional turnover increased in tandem, confirming the strength of the move. However, in the last few hours of the 24-hour period, volume declined slightly while price reached a new high, potentially indicating a slowdown in buying pressure and a watchful market ahead of further direction.
Future Outlook and Risk Consideration
Price may continue to test 436.4–440.0 before encountering meaningful resistance or a consolidation phase. A move below 410.0 could trigger a retest of key support at 390.0–395.0. Investors should watch for divergence between price and momentum indicators as a potential warning signal. While the rally appears strong, a sudden reversal or sideways consolidation could occur if buying pressure wanes.
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