Market Overview for Yield Guild Games/Tether (YGGUSDT) – 2025-11-08

Summary
• Price action shows a bearish bias with multiple intraday rejections above 0.123–0.124.
• High volume surges coincide with key retracements and bearish consolidation.
• RSI and MACD divergence hints at potential exhaustion of the current downward wave.

Yield Guild Games/Tether (YGGUSDT) opened at $0.1146 on 2025-11-07 at 17:00 ET and closed at $0.1164 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-11-08. The pair traded between $0.1142 and $0.1247 over the 24-hour period. Total volume amounted to 51,657,331.29 USDT, with notional turnover reaching $6,132,929.77.

Structure & Formations

Price action displayed a bearish bias with multiple consolidation zones, notably between 0.122–0.124 and 0.119–0.121. A Bearish Engulfing pattern was observed at 18:45 ET, followed by a Hanging Man at 23:15 ET. These formations suggest weakening bullish sentiment and potential bearish continuation.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period EMAs both trended downward, with price frequently crossing below both. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 200-period SMAs are in a bearish alignment, indicating a continuation of the longer-term downtrend.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram has turned negative and is trending lower, with the line below the signal line. RSI is currently at 45.8, below the 50 neutral level, suggesting moderate bearish momentum. A divergence was observed in late-night trading where RSI failed to make a lower high, despite price action doing so—this could signal a short-term pause in the downtrend.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded during the late-night hours, with the bands widening between 0.118 and 0.125. Price action has remained within the lower half of the bands, suggesting bearish pressure and a continuation of the downtrend unless a breakout above the upper band occurs.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during key bearish consolidations, particularly at 18:30 ET and 15:30 ET, with turnover confirming bearish momentum. Divergence was observed in the early morning when turnover declined while price continued downward, suggesting waning conviction in the bearish move.

Fibonacci Retracements

Recent 15-minute swings show price currently testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1191, with the 61.8% level at $0.1218 acting as a potential pivot for a short-term reversal. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement remains at $0.1252, above which a meaningful bearish reversal would be confirmed.

Backtest Hypothesis

A backtest could be conducted by identifying occurrences of the Bearish Engulfing pattern using the provided OHLC data. For example, the 18:45 ET candle on 2025-11-07 formed a bearish engulfing pattern and was followed by a 2.3% decline by the following day. If such patterns occurred consistently, a sell strategy triggered on pattern confirmation and stop-loss placed above the high of the engulfing candle could be tested.