Summary
•
consolidates near 2.0950, with 2.0900-2.0960 defining a tight range.
• Volume peaks at 16:45 ET, with a 2.0939 close suggesting bearish momentum.
• A bullish engulfing pattern forms near 2.0842 but fails to break key resistance.
• RSI near 50 implies balanced momentum, but divergence with price suggests caution.
• Bollinger Bands narrow midday, indicating a potential breakout toward 2.0839 or 2.1035.
At 12:00 ET on 2026-01-11, XRP/Tether (XRPUSDT) opened at 2.0946, touched a high of 2.1100, a low of 2.0839, and closed at 2.0946. Total 24-hour volume reached 12,048,021.1
, with notional turnover of 24,379,186.36 USD.
Structure & Formations
Price action formed a bearish channel between 2.0839 and 2.1035 on the 5-minute chart, with 2.0945 as a key support and 2.0960 as resistance. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged around 15:45 ET near 2.0842 but failed to sustain above 2.0900. A bearish reversal was evident after 16:00 ET with a sharp drop from 2.0917 to 2.0893.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period SMA hovered near 2.0950, crossing the 50-period SMA downward around 16:45 ET, indicating a weakening in bullish momentum. The 50-period daily SMA aligned with 2.0925, while the 200-period SMA supported 2.0905—suggesting a key support cluster.
Momentum & Volatility
Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered near 50 for most of the session, but diverged slightly from price at 16:00 ET as turnover spiked. MACD crossed below the signal line midday, signaling bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands narrowed between 13:00–15:00 ET, followed by an expansion as price broke lower—indicating higher volatility.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged at 16:45 ET, with over 2.25 million XRP traded as price dropped to 2.0893. Turnover also spiked during that hour, aligning with the bearish move. Divergence occurred between price and turnover after 17:00 ET, with price stabilizing despite declining turnover, signaling potential exhaustion in the bearish thrust.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the 5-minute swing from 2.0842 to 2.1100, key retracement levels at 38.2% (2.0966) and 61.8% (2.0936) were tested and failed. On the daily chart, 2.0900 aligned with 38.2% of a larger swing, suggesting potential for a consolidation phase.
XRPUSDT appears to be in a critical consolidation phase ahead of a potential breakout. While bearish pressure is evident, a rebound above 2.0950 could trigger a retest of 2.0960–2.0970. However, traders should remain cautious as liquidity appears to be thinning near key levels, increasing the risk of sudden directional moves in the next 24 hours.
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