Summary
• Price formed a bearish flag pattern amid declining volume and a breakdown below 1.0011.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions early before a sharp reversal into oversold territory.
• Volatility expanded significantly in the last 6 hours, with Bollinger Bands widening and price hitting lower boundaries.
Market Overview
World Liberty Financial USD/Tether (USD1USDT) opened at 1.001 on 2026-01-11 12:00 ET, reached a high of 1.0012, and closed at 1.0003 by 2026-01-12 12:00 ET, with a low of 1.0001. Total volume was 50,831,589.0, and notional turnover amounted to 50,863,619.39.
Structure & Formations
A bearish flag pattern emerged as the asset failed to reclaim key resistance at 1.0011. Price action showed a series of doji and small bodies in the late ET afternoon and evening, suggesting indecision. A sharp breakdown below 1.0011 in early morning ET confirmed a loss of bullish momentum.
Moving Averages
The 5-minute chart showed a bearish crossover of 20-period and 50-period moving averages overnight, reinforcing the downward shift. On the daily chart, the price remained below the 200-period MA, indicating long-term bearish bias.
MACD & RSI
MACD remained bearish throughout the 24-hour window, with the line staying negative and diverging from price during the late ET decline. RSI peaked at overbought levels early in the period before a rapid drop into oversold territory, suggesting a potential consolidation phase ahead.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands saw a moderate expansion in the final 6 hours of the 24-hour window, with price trading near the lower boundary. This suggests increased volatility and a possible continuation of the downward move, although a rebound toward the middle band is possible.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged after 7:00 ET, coinciding with the breakdown below 1.0011. Notional turnover spiked at this time as well, confirming the bearish move. A divergence appeared in the latter half of the 24-hour period, with volume increasing but price action losing steam, hinting at exhaustion or potential support testing.
Fibonacci Retracements
Recent 5-minute swings showed a breakdown near the 61.8% retracement level of the 1.0001–1.0012 range. This breakdown suggests traders may look to the 1.0000–1.0005 zone as the next area of interest, particularly near the 38.2% retracement level of the daily move.
Price may test immediate support near 1.0003–1.0005 in the coming 24 hours, where a bounce or a deeper pullback could occur. Traders should remain cautious about a potential consolidation phase following the sharp sell-off, particularly if volume fails to confirm further bearish momentum.
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