Market Overview for World Liberty Financial USD/Tether (USD1USDT)

• Price remained in a tight 0.9991–0.9996 range for most of 24 hours, with late-day buying pushing it to a new high at 0.9997.
• Late-night volume spiked significantly, indicating possible accumulation or distribution in the 0.9995–0.9997 range.
• RSI and MACD showed no strong overbought or oversold signals, suggesting a neutral momentum bias.
• Bollinger Bands contracted during the day and expanded at the end, signaling a possible breakout attempt.

World Liberty Financial USD/Tether (USD1USDT) opened at 0.9993 on 2025-09-15 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.9997 on 2025-09-16 at 12:00 ET. The price ranged between 0.9991 and 0.9997 over the 24-hour period. Total volume reached 5.45 million units, with notional turnover amounting to 5,445,856.

Structure & Formations

The price remained in a narrow consolidation pattern for the majority of the 24-hour window, with the 0.9993 level acting as both support and resistance. A key breakout candle formed in the early hours of 2025-09-16, with a bullish 15-minute candle opening at 0.9995 and closing at 0.9997. This indicates a potential shift in sentiment. The late-night candles also showed a slight bullish bias, with several candles forming long upper shadows and narrow bodies, suggesting a possible test of 0.9997 as the new short-term resistance.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart remained closely aligned, both oscillating within the 0.9992–0.9994 range. The price has spent most of the period above the 50-period MA, signaling a mild bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 200-period MAs were nearly overlapping, suggesting a sideways market setup. A sustained close above 0.9996 may confirm a break of this neutral structure.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line remained flat for most of the 24-hour period, with the signal line also staying close, suggesting a lack of strong momentum. However, a minor bullish crossover occurred in the early morning hours of 2025-09-16, coinciding with the volume spike. The RSI, meanwhile, oscillated between 48 and 54, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish stance. No overbought conditions were observed, and no significant bearish divergences were flagged.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands contracted tightly around the 0.9993 level for much of the day, indicating low volatility and a period of consolidation. A sharp expansion occurred in the late evening hours as the price moved toward 0.9997, signaling increased volatility and potential directional movement. The price closed near the upper band, suggesting that buyers controlled the late session and that 0.9997 may offer some resistance if the trend continues.

Volume & Turnover

Volume remained relatively low for most of the day, averaging around 40,000 units per 15-minute candle. However, a sharp increase in volume occurred during the early hours of 2025-09-16, with a single candle showing over 1 million units traded. This surge coincided with a push in price toward 0.9997, suggesting strong buying pressure. Turnover also increased correspondingly, with the last 15-minute candle showing the highest notional value of the day.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 0.9991–0.9997 swing, key levels at 0.9994 (61.8%) and 0.9993 (38.2%) were clearly tested throughout the 24-hour period. The 0.9994 level appears to have acted as a strong resistance, while 0.9993 served as a key support during the day’s consolidation. Traders may watch for a break of either level as a potential confirmation of trend continuation or reversal.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could focus on the late-night volume surge and the subsequent breakout attempt near 0.9997. Traders may consider entering long positions upon a confirmed close above 0.9997 with a stop-loss placed below 0.9994 to manage risk. This strategy would align with the recent MACD crossover and bullish price action on the 15-minute chart. The Bollinger Bands’ expansion also supports the idea that a breakout is more probable than a continuation of consolidation.