Market Overview for World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT)

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• Price fell from 0.2026 to 0.1995 over 24 hours, forming bearish consolidation.
• RSI near oversold levels, suggesting potential short-term rebound.
• Volume spiked during the late-night decline but diverged from price.
• Bollinger Bands show low volatility with price near the lower band.
• Key support seen near 0.1975, with resistance at 0.2015.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.2023 on 2025-09-24 at 16:00 ET and closed at 0.1995 by 12:00 ET on 2025-09-25. The 24-hour range was 0.2026 to 0.1932. Total volume for the period was 324,414,808.9, with a notional turnover (amount) of 116,635. Price appears to have been in a bearish consolidation phase, with bearish engulfing and hanging man patterns observed during the sharp intraday declines.

Structure & Formations

Price action reveals several key support and resistance levels within the 24-hour window. A critical support level appears to be forming at 0.1975–0.1965, confirmed by multiple bounces and a bearish reversal pattern at 0.1968. On the upper side, resistance appears at 0.2015–0.2020, marked by a prior bearish engulfing pattern and a failed bullish test. A hanging man formation at 0.1995 and a potential bearish harami at 0.1986–0.1982 suggest cautious sentiment ahead of a possible short-term reversal.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are bearish, with the price closing below both. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 200-period lines also remain bearish, with price still below both. The 100-period daily MA is near 0.2013, offering a potential overhead resistance. If the 50-period daily MA is tested and held, it could reinforce bearish bias.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram remains bearish, with a negative crossover in recent hours. RSI has fallen to 28–30 in the oversold territory, suggesting a potential rebound could be near. However, given the volume divergence observed in the late-night selling, a false bounce may occur without a follow-through in volume.

Bollinger Bands

Price remains near the lower Bollinger Band, with the 20-period band showing a recent contraction and expansion phase. The 15-minute chart shows price touching the lower band multiple times, indicating low volatility and bearish pressure. A move above the midline of the bands (0.1999) would be a key short-term reversal signal.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the late-night decline (around 21:30–23:30 ET) and again during early morning (around 05:30–06:30 ET), with corresponding downward moves. However, recent price action shows a volume divergence, particularly between 07:30–09:30 ET when price rose but volume stayed muted. This could signal weakening bearish momentum. Turnover remains relatively consistent with volume, showing no extreme imbalances.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the key 15-minute swing (0.1995 to 0.1932), the 38.2% and 61.8% levels align with 0.1967 and 0.1957 respectively. These are currently acting as minor support levels. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement of the larger move from 0.2026 to 0.1932 is at 0.1987 and the 61.8% at 0.1965—both showing increasing relevance.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy involves entering a short position on a break of the 15-minute Bollinger Band low, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., hanging man or bearish engulfing) and a RSI below 30. A stop-loss could be placed above the 50-period MA, with a target near the next Fibonacci retracement level. This aligns with observed behavior in the 2025-09-25 15-minute data, where price tested and bounced off the lower band, followed by bearish formations. Initial tests suggest this setup could yield favorable risk-reward in volatile consolidation phases.