Market Overview: World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) – 24-Hour Analysis

• Price fell from 0.2247 to 0.2142, driven by bearish momentum late in the session.
• High volume in key bearish 15-minute bars confirms selling pressure.
• RSI suggests oversold conditions, but price is still below 50.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility, with price near the lower band.
• A bullish reversal is possible, but buyers must break above 0.2203 for confirmation.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.2186 on 2025-09-16 at 16:00 ET and closed at 0.2144 at 16:00 ET the next day. The 24-hour range was 0.2247 (high) to 0.2132 (low). Total volume traded over the 24-hour window was 145,328,898.3, with notional turnover of 30,195,349.69 USDT.

Structure & Formations

Price formed a strong bearish pattern late in the session, including a long lower shadow at 15:30 ET-16:00 ET, which marked a key low of 0.2142. This was followed by a small bearish close and no immediate reversal, suggesting sellers dominated the session. A key support appears to be forming at 0.2144, while the nearest resistance is at 0.2203, where a failed breakout occurred earlier in the day. No major bullish reversal patterns were seen, though a possible harami can be observed near 0.2164–0.2166 in the early morning.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are both trending downward, aligning with the bearish bias. The price is currently trading below both, indicating ongoing bearish control. On the daily chart, price is below the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a weak trend and no immediate reversal in sight.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line is negative and trending downward, with a bearish histogram. This confirms sustained bearish momentum. RSI has moved into oversold territory, dipping below 30 in the final hours of the session, but it has yet to show a convincing reversal. While RSI suggests a potential bounce, price remains under pressure, and a strong close above 0.2203 would be necessary for any meaningful recovery.

Backtest Hypothesis: A potential strategy could be to enter long at the 0.2144–0.2164 zone if RSI crosses above 30 with a bullish candlestick confirmation. A stop-loss would be placed below 0.2141, with a target near 0.2203. This setup would be ideal for a short-term bounce trade, though traders must remain cautious if volume does not confirm the reversal.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility with the upper band at 0.2255 and the lower at 0.2132. Price closed near the lower band, reinforcing the bearish tone. A breakout above the upper band would require a move past 0.2255 and a corresponding increase in volume to be considered valid. For now, the bands suggest a continuation of the downward trend.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the bearish move from 0.2247 to 0.2142, particularly in the 15-minute intervals ending at 08:15 ET and 15:30 ET-16:00 ET. The total notional turnover also increased during these periods, aligning with the price move. However, volume during the potential bounce attempt in the morning was relatively weak, which suggests that any near-term reversal may lack conviction. Divergence between price and volume could imply that the bearish move is exhausting, but confirmation is needed.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute high of 0.2247 and low of 0.2132, the 61.8% level is at 0.2171, and the 38.2% level is at 0.2196. Price is currently testing the 38.2% retracement as support. A close above 0.2196 would suggest a potential reversal, but given the weak volume and bearish sentiment, this remains a key level to watch over the next 24 hours.

World Liberty Financial/Tether appears to be in a bearish consolidation phase, with the key near-term challenge being a rebound above 0.2203 to reinvigorate the bulls. While the RSI suggests an oversold condition, volume and price action have not confirmed a reversal. Traders should monitor the 0.2144–0.2164 zone closely, as it could be the site of a short-term bounce or further breakdown, depending on the strength of the next move. As always, liquidity and broader market sentiment may play a role in the outcome.