Market Overview for World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) – 2025-09-21

• Price surged 22.5% from 0.2236 to 0.2456, breaking key resistance at 0.2428 and extending into new 24-hour highs.
• Strong momentum confirmed by rising RSI and MACD divergence, with bullish signals forming after consolidation.
• Volatility expanded dramatically from 0.2336 to 0.2474, indicating increased participation and potential trend continuation.
• Bollinger Bands widened, and price closed near the upper band, signaling a continuation of the bullish breakout phase.
• Notional turnover surged to $6.2 billion, with volume clustering in the late NY session confirming institutional participation.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.2236 on 2025-09-20 at 12:00 ET, surged to an intraday high of 0.2474, and closed at 0.2456 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-09-21. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 409,178,517.45 units, translating to a notional turnover of $99,989,676.65.

Structure and key levels show a strong bullish bias. The price formed multiple higher lows and higher highs, with a strong breakout above the 0.2428 psychological resistance confirmed by a large bullish engulfing candle on the 15-minute chart. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the recent low at 0.2336 to the high at 0.2474 now sits near 0.2435, which has held as a dynamic support. The 0.2265–0.2305 range remains a critical support zone if the rally stalls.

Momentum indicators reinforced the bullish sentiment. RSI surged into overbought territory, reaching 70–73 during the NY session, suggesting short-term exhaustion but no immediate reversal. The MACD crossed above zero and maintained a positive divergence, with the histogram expanding, indicating growing bullish momentum. 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are steeply sloped upward, aligning with the broader daily trend where the 50/100/200-day EMAs are all trending higher.

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the NY and London sessions, with price closing near the upper band. This is a sign of strong conviction in the upward move. Volatility has increased from a mid-range of 0.2336 to an extended high of 0.2474. Volume surged in tandem with the price action, especially between 0.2392 and 0.2456, confirming institutional accumulation. The correlation between rising price and volume supports the continuation of the trend.

The backtest strategy relies on a breakout approach using 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart as entry triggers and RSI overbought conditions for exit timing. A buy signal is generated when price breaks above the 50-period MA with a close above the 20-period MA and RSI above 60, while a sell signal is issued when RSI crosses back below 60 or price closes below the 50-period MA. The current setup aligns with this model, with all three indicators confirming a strong long position.

Looking ahead, the 0.2474 high could face resistance at the 0.2495–0.2515 range, which has historically capped prior rallies. A failure to break above 0.2495 may trigger a pullback toward 0.2435. Investors should remain cautious about overbought conditions and potential short-term profit-taking. The market remains in a bullish phase, but consolidation is likely before the next leg up. Risk of a sharp correction remains low, but divergences in volume and RSI could signal a near-term top.