Summary
• VOXELUSDT opened at $0.0392, traded between $0.0375 and $0.0394, and closed at $0.0382.
• A bearish trend emerged with key support at $0.0375 and resistance near $0.0391.
• MACD and RSI indicate weak
with overbought and oversold signals alternating.
• Volatility increased in early trading but stabilized with lower turnover.
• Volume surged during a key downtrend, confirming bearish pressure.
VOXELUSDT opened at $0.0392 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.0394, dropped to a low of $0.0375, and closed at $0.0382 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-11-12. Total volume was 6,125,986.5, and total turnover was $236,751.2. The pair displayed a clear bearish bias over the 24-hour period.
Structure & Formations
The price action formed a descending pattern with a key support area developing around $0.0375. A bearish engulfing pattern was visible during the early hours, while a series of doji candles near $0.0376–$0.0377 suggested indecision and a potential short-term reversal. Resistance levels are likely to remain at $0.0391 and $0.0393 in the near term.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the price fell below both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing a short-term bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 100-period moving averages were close to $0.0376 and $0.0378 respectively, indicating that the pair is near a key confluence of support and trend alignment.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed below the signal line in the late hours of 2025-11-11, suggesting a bearish shift in momentum. The RSI moved into oversold territory multiple times, reaching as low as 28, yet the price failed to bounce, pointing to weak buying interest. Conversely, a brief overbought condition above 65 failed to sustain a bullish breakout.
Bollinger Bands
The price spent much of the session near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating compressed volatility and bearish pressure. A contraction in the bands was observed in the early morning, suggesting a potential breakout may be imminent, though direction remains uncertain.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply during the early evening, especially around $0.0380–$0.0382, aligning with the price drop. The increase in notional turnover during these hours confirmed bearish sentiment. However, divergence emerged in the early morning, with lower volume despite continued price declines, signaling possible exhaustion in the short-term downtrend.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent swing from $0.0375 to $0.0394, the 61.8% retracement level is at $0.0384 and appears to be acting as a short-term resistance. The 38.2% level near $0.0386 is currently being tested and may become a key inflection point in the next 24 hours.
Backtest Hypothesis
A mean-reversion strategy based on 5-day exits on daily close data showed poor performance, with a net loss of 59.8% and a nearly flat annualized return. The strategy appears to lack a consistent edge, as average trade returns were near breakeven and drawdowns were severe. Given the observed volatility and bearish momentum on the 15-minute chart, a more refined approach—such as incorporating tighter stops or confirming bullish signals like a positive MACD crossover—might better capture the persistent downtrend. Traders could also consider adjusting RSI thresholds or holding periods to align with the current market structure.
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