Market Overview for Viction/Tether (VICUSDT) as of 2025-09-20

• Viction/Tether (VICUSDT) traded in a range of $0.2267 to $0.2334 over the past 24 hours, closing near the lower end of the range.
• Momentum showed a bearish bias early before a sharp late-day rally pushed price to a new high at $0.2334.
• Volatility increased significantly in the final hours, with Bollinger Bands widening and volume surging at key turning points.
• Overbought RSI conditions emerged near the session high, suggesting potential near-term profit-taking.
• Volume and price action showed strong alignment in the last 6 hours, with increasing participation validating the bullish move.

Viction/Tether (VICUSDT) opened at $0.2278 on 2025-09-19 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.2334, and closed at $0.2294 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-20. The price experienced a bearish pullback to as low as $0.2246 before a strong final 6-hour rally. Total volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 1,661,500 tokens, with a notional turnover of around $403,500. The late rally was supported by increasing volume and positive momentum.

Structure & Formations

Price action displayed a classic bearish consolidation early in the session, with a support level emerging near $0.2275–$0.2280. A sharp breakdown at $0.2246 was followed by a strong reversal that resembled a bullish engulfing pattern from the $0.2267–$0.2291 range. A key resistance level formed at $0.2295–$0.2300, with the session high at $0.2334 acting as a new overbought area. A doji near $0.2310 suggests indecision and potential profit-taking.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period SMA crossed above the 50-period SMA early in the afternoon, signaling a bullish bias. The 50-period line held firm around $0.2285, acting as a key support. On a daily basis, the 200-period SMA remains at $0.2298, with price hovering slightly below, suggesting a potential pullback could be in play.

MACD & RSI

The MACD turned bullish after 18:00 ET on 2025-09-19, with a positive divergence forming as price found support near $0.2275. The RSI climbed to overbought levels (70+) near the session high at $0.2334, suggesting a potential short-term correction may be likely. A bearish divergence appeared in the RSI during the pullback from $0.2281 to $0.2267, indicating a temporary lack of bearish conviction.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility was at a contractionary low in the early hours of the session, with price consolidating within tight bands between $0.2275–$0.2285. As the rally began, bands expanded dramatically, with price surging to the upper band by the end of the session. The upper band reached $0.2325–$0.2335, indicating increased buying pressure and a potential exhaustion of the bullish trend.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the late afternoon and evening hours, with a large 15-minute candle at 05:30 ET showing a volume of ~333,914 tokens and a high of $0.2334. This aligned with the highest turnover of the session. Notably, a divergence between price and volume was observed during the pullback to $0.2255, where volume remained low despite a sharp price drop, suggesting limited bearish conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

A key Fibonacci level was found at 61.8% of the $0.2246–$0.2281 swing at $0.2267, which acted as a strong support area. The 38.2% retracement at $0.2277 also provided short-term support before the late rally. On the bullish side, the 61.8% level of the $0.2267–$0.2334 move is at $0.2316, which may serve as a target for further consolidation or a reversal point.

Backtest Hypothesis

Applying a simple mean-reversion strategy based on the 20-period SMA and RSI levels could provide a viable backtesting framework. A buy signal could be generated when price falls below the 20SMA and RSI dips into oversold territory (30+), with a sell signal when price crosses back above the 20SMA and RSI enters overbought territory. The recent pullback to $0.2255–$0.2267 aligns with such a setup, where a bullish reversal was confirmed by a strong volume-driven recovery. Historical data suggests this strategy may capture short-term volatility and trend corrections with a risk-reward profile of 1:1–1:2.