Summary
•
traded in a 4.11–4.21 range, with a final close above 4.18 after a midday rebound.
• Volume surged near 5,000 units around 00:30 ET, coinciding with a strong bullish reversal.
• RSI moved into overbought territory, suggesting potential for a near-term pullback.
• A bearish divergence in price and volume was noted in early morning hours before the reversal.
• Bollinger Bands expanded through the session, indicating rising volatility.
At 12:00 ET–1, Venus/Tether (XVSUSDT) opened at 4.13, reached a high of 4.21, and a low of 4.11 before closing at 4.18. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 31,675.21 units, with turnover amounting to 130,285.18 USD.
Structure and Candlestick Formations
Price found key support near 4.11 and built a bullish structure over the morning, culminating in a strong bullish engulfing pattern at the 00:30 ET 5-min candle. Later, the price consolidated above 4.17, forming a series of higher lows that signaled a potential shift in momentum.
Trend and Moving Averages
Short-term moving averages on the 5-min chart suggest a bullish bias, with the 20SMA and 50SMA converging above the 4.16 level. The 50SMA appears to act as a dynamic support. Daily MAs are not directly computed but indicate a more sideways-to-bullish bias.
Momentum Indicators
The MACD crossed into positive territory during the morning rebound, confirming the bullish reversal.
RSI pushed above 70, signaling overbought conditions and a potential pause or consolidation phase. The divergence between price and volume in the early morning raises caution about the sustainability of the current rally.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the morning surge, reflecting heightened volatility. The price closed above the upper band at several points, indicating aggressive bullish momentum. However, such an extreme position may lead to near-term correction.
Fibonacci Levels
Key Fibonacci levels from the recent swing low at 4.11 and high at 4.21 suggest resistance at 4.21 (100%) and support at 4.15 (61.8%). Price appears to be testing the 61.8% level as it consolidates near 4.18.
The market appears to be building a bullish bias following a strong reversal but faces overbought conditions and expanding volatility that may lead to a short-term pullback. Investors should watch for a potential consolidation around the 4.17–4.19 range in the next 24 hours, while keeping a close eye on volume developments to confirm any new direction.
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