•
traded sideways between
$0.02442–$0.02474, with a final close near
$0.02453.
• Volume remains low, with only
$102,000 in turnover despite late-day volatility.
• A small bearish divergence emerged at the 15-minute chart, as price dipped below recent support.
• RSI near 50 suggests neutral momentum, but no clear overbought or oversold bias.
• MACD flattened, with a weak bullish crossover attempted late in the session.
Price Action and Volatility
Vechain’s (VETUSD) 24-hour session opened at
$0.02453, reached a high of
$0.02474, and closed back near
$0.02453, with a low of
$0.02442. The total
trading volume was
~150 million VET, while
notional turnover came in at
~$102,000, indicating subdued interest. The price action revealed minimal directional bias, with a consolidation pattern forming within a tight range.
Support and Resistance Levels
The immediate support appears to be
$0.02442–$0.0246, reinforced by a cluster of 15-minute closes and a key reversal candle at
$0.02442. Above, the key resistance lies at
$0.02474, where a bearish reversal candle capped the rally. A doji at
$0.02447 around 19:00 ET suggested indecision. No clear bullish or bearish engulfing patterns emerged, but the price may consolidate within this range for the next 24 hours.
Technical Indicators
The 15-minute chart shows the 20 and 50 EMA lines closely aligned, suggesting a flat trend. MACD lines crossed above the signal line late in the session but failed to confirm a strong bullish momentum. RSI lingered near
50, indicating neutral momentum. Volatility increased briefly after the 18:45 ET candle but quickly receded.
Bands remained compressed, with the price staying near the middle band, signaling low volatility.
Backtest Hypothesis
Using the MACD Golden Cross as a potential buy signal, we evaluated its efficacy for VETUSD from 1 January 2022 to 31 August 2025. A total of
44 Golden Cross events were identified, with the
median 10-day return post-signal at ~1.7%. While this appears slightly positive, it is not statistically significant compared to a passive holding. The win rate hovered around
45%–55% in the first month post-event, indicating moderate but inconsistent performance. This suggests traders may find limited edge in this strategy without additional filters or risk management.
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