Market Overview for Vaulta/Bitcoin (ABTC)

• ABTC consolidated around 3.26e-06 for much of the session, with key resistance at 3.31e-06 and support at 3.24e-06.
• Volatility expanded in the evening, with a sharp dip to 3.22e-06 followed by a partial recovery.
• Late-night volume surged during the 3.22e-06–3.24e-06 pullback, suggesting potential support testing.
• RSI showed oversold conditions by 03:30 ET, hinting at short-term buying interest.
• No strong bullish or bearish momentum, with price ending near the session’s open.

24-Hour Price and Volume Summary

At 12:00 ET on 2025-10-08, Vaulta/Bitcoin (ABTC) opened at 3.26e-06, reaching a high of 3.31e-06 and a low of 3.21e-06, before closing at 3.21e-06. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 52,787.7 units, with notional turnover reflecting the narrow price range.

Structure & Formations

The 24-hour chart for ABTC showed a bearish consolidation pattern, with price moving between 3.22e-06 and 3.31e-06. A key bearish reversal pattern appeared around 21:15 ET (3.31e-06) and 22:15 ET (3.28e-06), as volume surged on downward closes. Price attempted a rebound after 03:30 ET, forming a small bullish harami and doji pattern near 3.26e-06, which could signal a near-term pause in the decline.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA briefly crossed above the 50-period MA during the early evening dip, but the 50-period MA remained above price for much of the session, indicating a bearish bias. Daily MAs (50/100/200) all sit above the current price, reinforcing the longer-term bearish outlook.

MACD & RSI

MACD showed bearish divergence in the early evening as price moved lower, with the histogram shrinking during the 22:00–02:00 ET period. RSI entered oversold territory at 03:30 ET, which may suggest a short-term bounce is possible. However, RSI failed to break above 50 for most of the session, indicating that momentum remains bearish.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded during the 21:00–01:00 ET period, with price moving toward the lower Bollinger band. Price closed near the lower band, indicating the range may be narrowing again as the session concludes. No clear contraction in volatility was observed, though the tight closing candles suggest a potential pause in the downward move.

Volume & Turnover

The largest volume spikes occurred around 21:15 ET (7359.7 units) and 22:15 ET (9680.7 units), aligning with bearish price action. Later in the session, a sharp drop to 3.21e-06 saw 2565.3 units traded, but turnover failed to confirm a strong bearish continuation. The late-night recovery was supported by moderate volume, suggesting limited follow-through buying.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the 21:15 ET high (3.31e-06) and 03:30 ET low (3.22e-06), key retracement levels were 3.28e-06 (38.2%), 3.25e-06 (50%), and 3.23e-06 (61.8%). Price tested the 50% level before closing near 3.21e-06, suggesting that further support may be found at or below the 61.8% level.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the recent bearish structure and oversold RSI readings, a potential mean-reversion strategy may be tested using a 15-minute RSI crossover at 30 (entry) and a 20-period EMA cross as a stop condition. If RSI drops below 30 and price closes above the 20-period EMA, a small long position could be entered, targeting a rebound to the 3.26e-06–3.28e-06 range. Stop-loss could be placed below the 3.21e-06 low. This aligns with the observed doji and harami patterns near 3.26e-06, which may indicate a short-term pause in the bearish trend.