Market Overview: USDTCOP 24-Hour Technical Summary

Thursday, Dec 18, 2025 10:06 am ET1min read
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- USDTCOP fell to 3856 after bearish breakdown below 3875 support, confirmed by 18:00 ET volume surge.

- RSI hit oversold 30 level post-23:00 ET, suggesting short-term rebound potential near 3863-3865.

- Bollinger Bands widened post-21:00 ET, signaling increased volatility and consolidation between 3856-3863.

- 61.8% Fibonacci level at 3857 provided temporary support; break below 3850 risks further bearish momentum.

Summary
• Price fell from 3883 to 3856 on strong bearish momentum late in the session.
• Volume surged after 18:00 ET, confirming a breakdown below 3875 support.
• RSI entered oversold territory near 30, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound.
• Bollinger Bands widened after 21:00 ET, signaling increased volatility and consolidation.

The Tether/Colombian Peso (USDTCOP) pair opened at 3880 on 2025-12-17 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 3883 before closing at 3858 on 2025-12-18 at 12:00 ET. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 318,945, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,246,235 (assuming USDTCOP ≈ COP 3860).

Structure & Moving Averages


Price action formed a bearish breakdown below key support at 3875, with a 50-period moving average on the 5-min chart confirming the downtrend.
The 200-period moving average on the daily chart remains neutral but suggests a possible continuation of the bearish phase if the 3850 level is breached.

Momentum & Volatility


MACD showed bearish divergence with a negative crossover and declining histogram after 18:00 ET. RSI dipped into oversold territory near 30 after 23:00 ET, hinting at a potential short-term bounce. Bollinger Bands expanded in the final hours, reflecting increased volatility and potential for consolidation between 3856 and 3863.

Volume & Divergence


Volume spiked after 18:00 ET with a breakdown below 3875, confirming the bearish reversal. Notional turnover also increased in line with price action, with no divergence observed. However, late-evening volume remained muted, suggesting reduced conviction in the current move.

Fibonacci Levels


The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level sits at 3863, while the 61.8% level is near 3857. Price briefly found support at 3856 before rebounding, aligning with the 61.8% level. A break below this level could see further movement toward 3850.

Looking ahead, a rebound toward 3863–3865 appears likely in the short term, but a sustained close above 3870 may signal a potential reversal. Investors should remain cautious, as a breakdown below 3850 could trigger further bearish momentum in the next 24 hours.