Market Overview for USDC/Zloty (USDCPLN)

Summary
• Price action shows consolidation within a 3.603–3.615 range, with resistance forming near 3.613–3.615.
• Strong bullish momentum emerged after 09:00 ET, reaching a high of 3.615 before a pullback.
• Volume increased significantly during the bullish phase, confirming strength in upward moves.
• RSI suggests overbought conditions developed near 3.615, hinting at potential near-term retracement.
• Bollinger Bands show slight expansion as volatility increased during the rally.

The USDC/Zloty (USDCPLN) pair opened at 3.609 on 2025-12-11 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 3.615, and closed at 3.613 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-12-12. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 633,164 units, with turnover reaching PLN 1,956,839.

Structure & Formations

Price consolidated within a tight range of 3.603–3.615 for most of the session before a sharp breakout attempt occurred between 09:00 and 10:15 ET. A series of bullish hammers and higher lows signaled growing buying pressure, with 3.613–3.615 acting as a strong resistance cluster. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged around 10:00 ET as price peaked at 3.615 and pulled back slightly.

Support levels appear to form near 3.605 and 3.603, both of which held during pullbacks.

Trend & Momentum

The 5-minute 20/50 MA crossover indicated a bullish bias for most of the session, particularly during the 09:00–10:30 ET window. MACD showed positive divergence as price reached a high at 3.615, with the histogram showing a slight contraction after the peak. RSI pushed into overbought territory for the first time in the 24-hour period during the late morning rally, suggesting that a correction could be imminent.

Volatility and Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands showed a period of contraction in the early morning before expanding during the 09:00–10:30 ET rally, indicating a rise in volatility. Price spent most of the day inside the bands, with the 3.615 high brushing the upper band, which acted as a temporary ceiling.

Volume and Turnover

Volume spiked to 87,772 units at 14:30 ET, aligning with a pullback from 3.614. This confirmed selling pressure after the morning high. Conversely, volume surged to 10,572 at 09:15 ET during a sharp bullish move, confirming the strength of that rally. Turnover correlated well with volume, reinforcing the validity of price moves.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement to the 3.603–3.615 move, key levels include 3.610 (38.2%), 3.609 (50%), and 3.607 (61.8%). Price showed hesitation near 3.610 before pushing higher, with 3.607 currently acting as a short-term support.

Price may continue to test the 3.613–3.615 range in the near term, but with RSI showing overbought conditions and a bearish engulfing pattern developing, a pullback toward 3.607–3.605 could be in the cards. Investors should remain cautious of thin support levels and possible choppy trading ahead.